Top Reason Why Major Altcoin Season Is Not Coming

As a crypto investor with a few years of experience under my belt, I find Murad Mahmudov’s analysis intriguing and thought-provoking. His perspective on the declining cumulative excess savings of US households and its potential impact on altcoin season is something I can’t help but ponder over.


As a crypto investor following Murad Mahmudov’s analysis, I understand his perspective that a significant altcoin rally might not occur soon based on the decreasing excess savings of American households. This means that people may have less disposable income to allocate towards riskier investments like cryptocurrencies, potentially limiting the buying power in the market.

Based on the latest figures from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, it appears that Americans have used up their savings amassed between March 2020 and August 2021. This financial reserve grew significantly due to a substantial decrease in consumer spending during that timeframe.

According to economists at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, I observed the peak of excess savings reach an astonishing $2.1 trillion in August 2021.

As a researcher examining this situation, I’ve found that although most of those savings have been depleted, the report proposes that a robust labor market could help sustain spending levels. However, my analysis also reveals that recent financial reports from corporations like Amazon point towards consumers becoming more mindful of their budgets.

Based on the current trend of increased caution in spending among Americans, I infer that they are less likely to invest heavily in speculative cryptocurrencies compared to last year.

He expressed that the best outcome one could anticipate is infrequent, strategic surges from a trending cryptocurrency market standout, occasionally delivering impressive returns.

The analyst has noted an overabundance of altcoins in the market, as evidenced by the increasing number and total market value of these tokens with each new introduction. (Mahmudov’s statement: “Altcoins are multiplying in terms of both quantity and fully diluted market cap with every new token launch.”)

In analyzing the present market situation versus 2017, it was pointed out that the market size was significantly smaller in the past. This implies that a smaller investment was sufficient then for substantial profits. Additionally, generating new cryptocurrencies was more challenging back then.

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2024-06-16 21:55