Solana ETF Launch Tied To 2024 Presidential Election, VanEck Research Head Explains

As a researcher with a background in digital assets and experience following the regulatory landscape, I believe that the submission of S-1 applications for the first Solana ETF by VanEck and 21Shares marks an important milestone for the cryptocurrency industry. However, the ultimate approval and likelihood of trading for this anticipated product heavily depend on the outcome of the US Presidential election.


In a significant move for the crypto industry, asset management firms VanEck and 21Shares have filed S-1 applications with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to create the first exchange-traded fund (ETF) based on Solana.

The Bitcoin ETF market has seen remarkable achievement since its debut in January, leading up to the anticipated start of trading for Ethereum ETFs within the next week.

Matthew Sigel, the Head of Digital Asset Research at VanEck, has highlighted that the fate of a potential Solana ETF hinges significantly on the results of the upcoming US Presidential election.

As a crypto investor, I’ve noticed that the regulatory approaches between different countries can significantly impact the investment landscape. For instance, some jurisdictions are more welcoming to cryptocurrencies and offer favorable regulations, while others may take a stricter stance, potentially limiting opportunities for growth.

Sigel Calls For Fair Approval Process For Solana ETF

In my research as a financial analyst, I’ve noticed an intriguing development: cryptocurrencies are gaining more influence in elections, and the regulatory landscape in Washington is shifting accordingly. According to Sigel in a Bloomberg interview, “I’m observing a change at the elected officials’ level. Several Democrats have recently voiced their support for pro-crypto legislation.”

Digital currencies have emerged as a significant issue in the presidential contest, with the Biden administration taking a distinct stance on their regulation compared to former President Trump’s expressed approval of the sector.

Sigel pointed out that the absence of a regulated futures market for Solana might hinder the ETF’s acceptance, which he believed was due to SEC Chairman Gary Gensler’s influence: “We suspect this is another one of Gensler’s maneuvers. He has instigated this situation since assuming office.”

As an analyst, I believe Sigel is expressing optimism that the regulatory environment will continue to evolve in a way that could allow for the approval of Solana ETFs, regardless of the election outcome. However, it’s important to note that the SEC chair also plays a significant role in this process. Therefore, I urge the SEC to adopt a fair and efficient approval process to ensure timely decisions on these proposed funds.

Regarding the regulatory landscape, Sigel voiced his concerns, specifically focusing on the challenges faced by Solana in this regard. Yet, he underscored the importance of permitting the trading of Ethereum-linked products. This approval, he suggested, would solidify Ethereum’s classification as a commodity and similarly apply to Solana.

Galaxy Digital Analysis

Alex Thorn, the Head of Research at Galaxy Digital, examined filing documents related to Solana Exchange-Traded Products (ETPs) submitted by VanEck and 21Shares in real time, following a methodology akin to Sigel’s analysis.

The newly enacted FIT21 Act, emphasized by Thorn, sheds light on the distinct regulatory domains of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This legislation is expected to have a major impact on the future regulatory landscape of cryptocurrencies, as it determines whether these digital assets should be classified as commodities or securities.

As a researcher examining the regulatory landscape for digital currencies, I’ve observed that achieving clear definitions and classifications for assets beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum, such as Solana, could significantly enhance their prospects for approval in the Electronic Transfer of Funds (ETF) framework.

As an analyst, I would express it this way: The journey ahead for Solana Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) is marked by regulatory challenges and uncertainties. VanEck’s proactive filing strategy indicates their strategic thinking, and they might be placing bets on the outcome of the upcoming US presidential election.

The outcome for the Solana ETF hinges on the election results, possible shifts in SEC leadership, and continuous evolution within the regulatory sphere.

Solana ETF Launch Tied To 2024 Presidential Election, VanEck Research Head Explains

As a Solana token holder, I’m observing that the current value of SOL stands at $141 at this moment, reflecting the broader crypto market decline experienced on Wednesday. Consequently, there’s been a 5% decrease in the price within the last 24 hours.

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2024-07-04 04:12