Author: Denis Avetisyan
A new study sheds light on the surprisingly subtle problem of unreliable tests in quantum software development.

Researchers present the first large-scale dynamic analysis of flaky tests in quantum software, revealing their low probability of occurrence and the substantial execution resources needed for reliable detection.
While robust software testing is paramount, the increasing complexity of quantum systems introduces unique challenges to ensuring reliability. This is addressed in ‘Detecting Flaky Tests in Quantum Software: A Dynamic Approach’, which presents the first large-scale dynamic characterization of non-deterministic test failures-or “flaky tests”-within the Qiskit Terra suite. Our analysis of over 27,000 test cases revealed that, though infrequent, flakiness exists and is often characterized by low failure probabilities requiring substantial execution budgets for confident detection. Given the critical need for dependable quantum computations, how can we best mitigate the impact of these elusive, yet potentially significant, sources of error?
The Inherent Fragility of Quantum Computation
Quantum computation holds the potential to transform fields ranging from medicine and materials science to finance and artificial intelligence, promising solutions to problems currently intractable for even the most powerful classical computers. However, this power comes with a fundamental challenge: quantum systems are extraordinarily sensitive to disturbances from their environment. Unlike classical bits, which are stable in a defined state of 0 or 1, quantum bits – or qubits – rely on the delicate principles of superposition and entanglement, making them prone to errors caused by noise, interference, and decoherence. These errors aren’t simply occasional glitches; they represent a systemic vulnerability that necessitates sophisticated error correction techniques and rigorous validation procedures, ultimately hindering the development of reliable and scalable quantum technologies. The very nature of harnessing quantum mechanics for computation introduces an inherent fragility that demands innovative approaches to maintain the integrity of quantum information.
Conventional software testing relies on deterministic principles – given the same input, a program should consistently produce the same output. This approach falters when applied to quantum systems, where the fundamental principles of superposition and entanglement introduce inherent probabilistic behavior. A quantum bit, or qubit, can exist in a combination of states simultaneously – a superposition – and multiple qubits become interconnected through entanglement, meaning their fates are intertwined regardless of physical separation. Consequently, running the same quantum program multiple times may yield different results, not necessarily due to errors, but due to the very nature of quantum mechanics. This means that simply observing a failure isn’t enough to confirm a bug; the result must be statistically significant, demanding a fundamentally different testing paradigm capable of handling probabilistic outcomes and distinguishing true errors from expected quantum fluctuations. Validating quantum computations, therefore, requires novel techniques designed to account for this intrinsic uncertainty and the complex interplay of entangled qubits.
Quantum systems, by their very nature, exhibit behaviors that introduce a notable challenge to reliable testing: ‘flaky tests’. A comprehensive dynamic analysis, spanning 23 releases of quantum software, demonstrates that while these intermittent failures are infrequent, they do occur, stemming from the probabilistic foundations of quantum mechanics. These aren’t simple bugs, but rather outcomes within the permissible range of quantum behavior – correct results are often overshadowed by valid, yet undesirable, states. Consequently, developers must account for extremely low failure probabilities, necessitating substantial computational resources dedicated to rerunning tests multiple times to achieve statistically significant confidence in the system’s performance, thereby dramatically increasing development and validation costs.

Establishing Determinism Through Controlled Environments
Containerization technologies are employed to mitigate inconsistencies arising from differing execution environments, a primary contributor to non-reproducible test results. By packaging quantum software alongside its specific dependencies – including libraries, runtime environments, and system tools – into a standardized unit, containerization ensures a consistent runtime regardless of the underlying infrastructure. This approach isolates the application from the host system, preventing conflicts with pre-existing software or variations in system configurations. Consequently, deployments become predictable and reliable, reducing the incidence of test failures attributed to environmental discrepancies and facilitating easier software distribution and scaling.
Singularity, a containerization platform designed for high-performance computing (HPC) environments, facilitates reproducible quantum computing results by packaging quantum software and its dependencies into a single, portable unit. This ensures consistent execution across heterogeneous computing resources, mitigating discrepancies caused by variations in operating systems, libraries, or installed software versions. Specifically, Singularity’s support for user and system environments within HPC clusters allows researchers to define a standardized runtime for quantum algorithms, independent of the underlying infrastructure. This capability is critical for validating experimental findings and ensuring the portability of quantum software across different research facilities and computing platforms, thereby improving the reliability and verifiability of quantum computations.
Containerization technologies establish a standardized runtime environment for quantum software by packaging applications with all dependencies – including libraries, system tools, and runtime – into a single, executable unit. This isolation prevents conflicts with the host system or other applications, ensuring consistent execution across different computing infrastructures. By encapsulating these elements, containerization eliminates the “it works on my machine” problem commonly encountered in software development, and facilitates reproducible research by guaranteeing the same software stack is used for each execution, regardless of the underlying hardware or operating system. This approach is critical for reliable quantum computations and consistent benchmarking.

Unmasking Instability: Dynamic and Static Analysis
Dynamic test execution is a primary method for identifying flaky tests, which are tests that pass or fail inconsistently without code changes. This process involves repeatedly running tests, often automated within a continuous integration pipeline, and monitoring for variations in results. Inconsistencies – where a test passes in one execution but fails in a subsequent, identical execution – indicate potential flakiness. The frequency of re-execution and the number of observed inconsistencies are key metrics used to assess the likelihood of a test being unreliable. This approach differs from static analysis by actively observing test behavior rather than predicting potential issues based on code structure.
Static analysis of quantum code focuses on identifying constructs that introduce non-determinism without runtime execution. This includes examining operations susceptible to timing variations, shared resource access without proper synchronization, and reliance on external, potentially unstable, environmental factors. Specifically, the analysis parses the quantum assembly or high-level language representation to detect patterns known to cause inconsistent results, such as uninitialized qubit states, ambiguous control flow dependent on measurement outcomes, or the use of random number generators without consistent seeding. By flagging these potential sources of non-deterministic behavior, static analysis allows for proactive mitigation of flakiness before dynamic testing even begins, reducing the overall cost and time required for reliability assessment.
Quantifying test unreliability involves combining dynamic test execution data with static analysis results to calculate a ‘Failure Probability’ for each test case. Analysis of 10,000 tests per release identified 290 unique flaky tests from a total of 27,026 distinct test cases. This probability is then used to estimate reliability using the Wilson Confidence Interval, a statistical method providing a more accurate range of values than simple percentage calculations, particularly when dealing with low-frequency failures. The Wilson Confidence Interval is calculated as $p \pm z \sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{n}}$, where $p$ is the observed failure rate, $n$ is the number of executions, and $z$ is the z-score corresponding to the desired confidence level.

Scaling Reliability: Automation and Machine Learning
Quantum software development relies heavily on robust frameworks, and the foundation of this work is Qiskit, an open-source software development kit. Specifically, the ‘Terra’ subsystem within Qiskit provides the tools necessary for constructing and manipulating quantum circuits – the blueprints for quantum computations. Terra allows developers to define quantum algorithms at a high level of abstraction, managing the complexities of qubit interactions and gate sequences. This modular approach not only simplifies the development process but also facilitates rigorous testing and optimization of quantum programs before they are deployed on actual quantum hardware. By leveraging Terra’s capabilities, researchers and engineers can focus on algorithm design rather than the low-level details of quantum control, accelerating progress in the field.
The process of transforming a quantum algorithm into a form a real quantum computer can understand relies heavily on a component called the ‘Transpiler’. This crucial software element takes a high-level description of a quantum circuit – built using abstract quantum gates – and translates it into a sequence of native instructions specific to the target quantum hardware. This translation isn’t simply a direct substitution; it involves optimization techniques to minimize errors and maximize the algorithm’s performance on the given device. To ensure consistency and reproducibility across different development environments, the transpiler is deployed within containerized environments. This practice isolates the transpilation process, guaranteeing that the same input circuit will always yield the same output, regardless of the underlying infrastructure, and facilitating reliable validation of quantum software at scale.
Quantum software development faces a unique challenge in test validation due to the probabilistic nature of quantum computations, often manifesting as ‘flaky’ tests that pass or fail without code changes. To address this, machine learning prediction methods are integrated into the validation pipeline, proactively identifying tests likely to exhibit this instability. Analysis of past releases reveals a significant presence of these flaky tests, averaging 35.3 per release, with considerable variation-peaking at 88 in release v.0.25.0-and flakiness rates ranging from 0 to 0.40%. By flagging these potentially unreliable tests, the system minimizes unnecessary reruns, effectively reducing the required ‘rerun budget’ and accelerating the overall validation process while bolstering confidence in software reliability.
The study rigorously establishes the presence of non-determinism in quantum software through empirical observation-a foundation critical for any meaningful discussion of test reliability. It highlights that detecting these elusive flaky tests demands significant computational resources, a consequence of their inherently low failure probabilities. This echoes Blaise Pascal’s sentiment: “All of humanity’s problems stem from man’s inability to sit quietly in a room alone.” While seemingly disparate, the quote underscores the necessity of dedicated, focused effort – in this case, substantial execution budgets – to uncover truths hidden within complex systems. The paper’s dynamic analysis provides precisely that focused effort, moving beyond mere speculation about flakiness and offering concrete data on its prevalence and detection challenges.
What’s Next?
The observation that quantum flaky tests, while infrequent, necessitate substantial computational resources for reliable detection, exposes a fundamental tension. Current approaches to quantum software testing largely mirror classical paradigms, yet the inherent non-determinism of quantum systems demands a reassessment of statistical significance. A test passing 100 times is insufficient justification for correctness; a rigorous analysis requires bounding the probability of undetected errors-a problem scaling poorly with system size. Future work must move beyond simply observing flakiness and focus on predicting its likelihood, perhaps leveraging formal methods to establish invariants that hold despite quantum fluctuations.
Furthermore, the present study serves as a descriptive analysis. While it quantifies the prevalence of flakiness, it does not address the underlying causes. Are these failures attributable to hardware limitations, compiler bugs, or fundamental ambiguities in the quantum algorithm itself? Disentangling these factors is crucial, demanding a more nuanced instrumentation of quantum execution environments. A test suite exhibiting high flakiness is not merely unreliable; it is an indicator of a deeper, systemic issue requiring careful diagnosis.
Ultimately, the pursuit of reliable quantum software necessitates a shift in perspective. Testing is not simply about finding bugs; it is about establishing a degree of confidence in the absence of observable errors. This requires not merely increasing the number of executions, but developing a more sophisticated mathematical framework for reasoning about uncertainty in quantum computations-a problem where elegance, rather than expediency, must be the guiding principle.
Original article: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2512.18088.pdf
Contact the author: https://www.linkedin.com/in/avetisyan/
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2025-12-24 02:10