Analysts Have Bad News for Those That Haven’t Purchased a Switch 2 Yet

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It’s possible that you might find it challenging to obtain a Nintendo Switch 2 until spring 2026, as suggested by a significant Japanese news outlet. Their prediction is based on the opinions of two financial analysts. Globally, gamers have been eagerly trying to secure one since its launch a month ago, and indications point towards supply not meeting demand until sometime in the next year.

The long-awaited Nintendo Switch 2 hit stores on June 5, 2025. If sales trends continue, this new console could potentially break Nintendo’s own records or even industry-wide sales records, surpassing the current best-seller, the PlayStation 2, which has sold over 160 million units. The Nintendo DS, another successful handheld device by Nintendo, currently holds the second spot with more than 154 million units sold.

Based on Nikkei Asia’s report, the limited availability of Nintendo Switch 2 consoles in Japan has caused some retailers to adopt a first-come, first-served policy. On the other hand, Nintendo’s online store has been conducting series of lotteries to decide which among the numerous interested players will be given the chance to purchase one. In late June, Nintendo President Shuntaro Furukawa expressed his apologies for the shortage of Switch 2 consoles. The Japanese publication claims that these shortages have mainly stemmed from a lack of essential semiconductors. Although Nintendo is trying to resolve its production issues, it’s predicted that Switch 2 consoles might not be easily obtainable until spring 2026.

Nintendo Switch 2 Shortages Could Last Until Spring 2026

Based on projections from two separate industry experts – Hideki Yasuda of Toyo Securities and Zhai Yijia of UBS Securities – it is anticipated that over 6 million Switch 2 units were sold globally in June 2025. However, the accuracy of these estimates won’t be confirmed until Nintendo reveals its actual opening-month sales figures, scheduled for release on August 1. Both analysts suggest that at least 18 million Switch 2 consoles will have been purchased by the end of this fiscal year, with Yasuda estimating a possible 20 million units. A recent report from MST Financial analyst David Gibson, released earlier this week, predicts Nintendo sold 5.4 million units in June instead.

The problems with supply are further complicated by statements from Furukawa suggesting that Nintendo may increase the price of the Switch 2 in certain regions. Due to uncertainties caused by U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff policies, Nintendo postponed pre-orders in the United States and Canada temporarily. In May, Furukawa stated that the company would need to keep an eye on global market conditions to decide if they should adjust the console’s price, particularly if tariffs undergo significant changes.

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2025-07-05 22:33