‘Black Swan’ Author Names AI ‘Probably Best Investment’ of Near Future

As a seasoned investor with a deep appreciation for the insights of scholars like Nassim Nicolas Taleb, I find his recent comments on the financial markets and AI companies particularly enlightening. With my portfolio built over decades of navigating market volatilities and technological disruptions, I can’t help but agree that we are currently in a fragile state, reminiscent of the last twenty to thirty years.


Renowned thinker, risk expert, and bestselling author such as Nassim Nicholas Taleb (known for works like “The Black Swan,” “Antifragile,” “Skin in The Game” among others) has voiced his perspective on the present financial market landscape and the future outlook of AI-focused enterprises from an investor’s standpoint.

This week, Taleb made an appearance on Bloomberg TV where he discussed these important subjects.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb, famously known as the “Black Swan” author, expresses concern about the current instability in financial markets. Although gold prices are rising, Taleb doesn’t rely on it in this volatile context. Instead, he emphasizes the importance of being prepared for a potential market crash by taking a defensive stance, or in his words, being “cautiously protected against an impending market breakdown.

As an analyst, I’d express this in my own words as follows: According to Nassim Taleb, renowned author of “Black Swan” and a distinguished scientific advisor at Universa Investments, the current state of the markets appears to be quite ‘delicate’ or ‘vulnerable.’ This suggests that they might react strongly and unpredictably to unexpected events.

— Bloomberg TV (@BloombergTV) October 11, 2024

He stated that “the markets are more vulnerable now compared to the past twenty or even thirty years.” He emphasized this point by saying, “We’re incredibly delicate right now.

Over the past year, I’ve observed an impressive surge in the S&P 500 index, and as a researcher delving into this, I can’t help but attribute a significant portion of it to a select few companies harnessing the power of Artificial Intelligence (AI).

The financial expert asserted that AI is likely going to prove a wise investment, though not necessarily within the companies he named earlier. Reminiscent of the early days of the World Wide Web, Robert Taleb notes that while AltaVista was initially popular (like one of the pioneering search engines), over time, most people eventually transitioned to using Google instead.

Regarding this year’s significant market drop, Taleb stated that these kinds of crashes often occur when they are least anticipated and investors have too much exposure in the market. He further noted, “We find ourselves in a remarkably similar situation to the conditions preceding previous market collapses.

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2024-10-12 23:15