Key Takeaways
Lo and behold! Bitcoin, the illustrious coin of notes, flits about with a promise of bull-ish grandeur as the tête-à-tête of whale deposits dips by a curious $2.25 billion, while stablecoin cascades splash in at $1.7 billion. Meanwhile, our Short-Term Holder (STH) MVRV lounges amorously beneath its historically lofty 1.35, offering the discerning eye a saucy room for growth—yes, dear reader, to the tantalizing tune of $136K, accompanied by faint murmurs of lackluster sentiment.
At press time, the dapper Bitcoin was twirling around $119K, while the STH MVRV basked at a cozy 1.15, hinting that the portfolio of unrealized profits still plays humble.
Historically, may I remind you, our dear BTC has pranced forth with vigor, rallying by a buoyant 20% to 25% before some major selling odyssey occurs at those elevated MVRV levels. Oh, the drama!
Hence, a scintillating window for bullish momentum may stretch forth before our very eyes. The market, dear fellows, remains piquantly optimistic, where price action strolls arm in arm with low STH profit-taking peril in the immediate vicinity.
Are Bitcoin whales losing their appetite to sell?
Ah, the intrigue thickens! Binance‘s whale-to-exchange flow chart prattles on about a notable dip in deposits—down $2.25 billion from 6.75 billion to a mere 4.5 billion in thirty stubborn days.
This dramatic decline, one must say, paints a picture of our major holders adopting a coy demeanor; rather than frolicking to sell, they seem determined to clutch their treasures tightly.
What’s that? History whispers to us that such a retreat tends to precede bullish upheaval. Thus, we find ourselves seated on the precipice of a brighter short-term forecast.
With the big fish tapping out of the selling frenzy, retail traders may finally find the spark to ride this wave higher, fingers crossed that the herd mentality remains steadfast on the tracks of accumulation.

Do stablecoin inflows hint at strategic accumulation?
On the 16th of July, a curious ballet of over $1.7 billion in stablecoins pirouetted into Binance and HTX within a mere 24 hours—Binance cheerfully welcoming $895 million and HTX donning its finest as $819 million made its entrance.
Ah, such synchronous inflows, one could speculate, are the hallmarks of grand machinery at work—institutions or rather, the financial titans preparing to feast upon crypto assets.
Paired with the whimsical decline of whale deposits, we might witness a palpable eagerness to buy, alongside a distinct waning of selling intent, creating ripples of anticipation.
Thus, this delicate ballet of capital could mark the advent of calculated accumulation, a preamble to the major rallies that come knocking, particularly when juxtaposed with improving macro or on-chain circumstances.

Does dormant supply still support the current BTC rally?
The ever-elusive Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric has seen a delicate flurry of activity—a modest increase of 2.35% to 34.45 million, signaling that the elder coins remain content in a state of slumber.
With but a whisper of movement, we note that the evident lack of a meteoric CDD spike suggests that our long-term holders are currently on an extended tea break.
Thus, we find ourselves in a rather snug supply situation, paving the way for some delightful price appreciation to waltz into view.
The restraint seen from this cohort further emboldens a bullish atmosphere especially when serenaded with apathetic whale deposits and a fresh flood from stablecoins.
At this juncture, the older supply seems firmly clasped away, like a long-lost love letter.

Why is sentiment bearish despite bullish on-chain signals?
As we engage in this whimsical discourse, Weighted Sentiment lingers in the shadows at a curiously negative -0.226, while Social Dominance flounders at 26% after scaling the dizzy heights of 35%.
The curious divergence suggests a peculiar state of disbelief wherein even as fundamentals kiss the heavens, the retail interest seems to melt away like cotton candy on a summer’s day.
Here we find ourselves at the cusp of a phase where price rallies occur sans the enthusiastic applause of the masses; a dynamic as old as the markets themselves during the early stages of bull cycles.
Though sentiment may take its sweet time to catch up, the delightful combination of on-chain strength, the slumbering supply, and fresh capital ingress may yield a renewed confidence in this beguiling BTC if the trend bears fruit.

In spite of the faint whispers of weak sentiment, one cannot overlook the robust signals on-chain suggesting BTC has ample room to frolic to the upside. With whale deposits retreating, stablecoin inflows rising like the enthusiasm of a puppy, and a not-so-threatening STH MVRV all aglow, further gains seem tantalizingly in the cards.
Thus, one could anticipate BTC’s continuous ascent until profit-taking shadows loom ominously above the 1.35 MVRV mark.
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2025-07-17 15:46