When Will BTC Price Breakout Happen?

As a crypto investor with a few years of experience under my belt, I find the current market situation intriguing. The recent price action of Bitcoin between $68,577.16 and $70,230.82 is a familiar dance that I’ve seen during previous halving cycles. However, the accelerated pace at which BTC has been gaining value in comparison to historical norms suggests that we might be witnessing an earlier consolidation phase.


Over the last 24 hours, I’ve observed Bitcoin trading within a narrow range, touching a low of $68,577.16 and reaching a high of $70,230.82. The cryptocurrency is poised to challenge the resistance level at $69,000. In the quiet market, Bitcoin enthusiasts eagerly anticipate the day when the price will break free from this range. With the recent complete Bitcoin halving on April 20, 2024, investors are excitedly waiting for a repeat of the parabolic surges witnessed during previous bull runs. This article aims to shed light on when such a price movement might occur.

As a researcher at REKT Capital, I’ve been closely monitoring Bitcoin’s price action. Recently, I’ve noticed that the cryptocurrency has been trading within a sideways range, referred to as the “Re-Accumulation Range.” The significance of this lies in the latest monthly candle close, which underscores Bitcoin’s current position within this range.

After a halving event, which may feel like an aggravating intermission, historically there’s been a phase of approximately 150 days for price stabilization.

Bitcoin’s Early Support

As a crypto investor, I’ve noticed an important development in the Bitcoin market: the successful retesting of its previous All-Time High (ATH) as new support. This retest has been robust and has held strong for the past three months, which is a positive sign indicating stability. However, historically speaking, this retest tends to occur much later in the Halving cycle, around the 214th day.

However, this early adoption suggests Bitcoin is ahead of schedule compared to past halving cycles.

When Will BTC Price Breakout Happen?

A Bull Market on Fast Forward

As a crypto investor, I’ve noticed the recent price action may give the impression of a slowdown. However, according to REKT Capital, Bitcoin’s overall advance is actually surpassing historical trends by more than 170 days at an accelerated pace. Consequently, it’s essential for us to experience another consolidation phase in order to align with traditional Halving cycles and maintain a healthy market rhythm.

Compared to the historical norm of approximately 150 days following a halving event, Bitcoin has thus far remained relatively stable for just under 50 days.

Patience is Key

So, what does this mean for investors?

As an analyst, I’ve noticed that although the current Bitcoin price action may appear slow, the reality is that its rate of acceleration continues to surpass historical averages, according to experts like Rekt Capital. Interestingly, for a robust long-term trend, it’s essential that the consolidation phase persists – possibly lasting another 100 days – in order to align with past market patterns.

If I were a researcher studying market trends, I would encourage patience despite the current sideways movement in the market. According to Rekt Capital’s analysis, this pause could be an essential component of this bull market, aligning it with historical patterns.

While it’s important to note that a breakout isn’t impossible, technical analysts like those from Ali Charts suggest potential breakouts based on technical indications, such as the symmetrical triangle pattern forming on the price charts.

From this perspective, reaching $74,400 could be a likely outcome if the price breaks through the resistance at $69,330 and maintains an upward trend. Nevertheless, it’s important to consider that a prolonged period of sideways movement is also a viable scenario.

BTC Price Current Action

The price of Bitcoin currently stands at around $69,082.84, representing a minimal decrease of 0.25% in the last 24 hours. Over the past week, Bitcoin has experienced a significant surge in value, with an increase of approximately 1.65%. Furthermore, within the past month, its value has risen by a substantial 8%. Despite recording a 22% hike in trading volume over the last day, reaching nearly $22 billion, Bitcoin’s market capitalization has dipped slightly by 0.3%, now standing at approximately $1.36 trillion. Nonetheless, Bitcoin continues to control the market with a dominance of 53.2%.

When Will BTC Price Breakout Happen?

Looking Ahead

Some analysts are convinced that a significant price breakout for Bitcoin is imminent. However, REKT Capital advises caution, pointing out the likelihood of an extended period of price consolidation according to past market trends. This perspective doesn’t contradict the ongoing bull market but offers a different timeframe for those anticipating a price surge. By recognizing Bitcoin’s role within this cycle, investors can adjust their expectations and potentially capitalize on future opportunities.

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2024-06-04 17:18