Ah, the illustrious chief investment officer of the crypto wise men at Bitwise, Matt Hougan, has unfurled a revelation thicker than a Russian winter coat: the beloved four-year cycle, that spectral harbinger of Bitcoin‘s rise and fall, is declared “dead.” One wonders, did it not make an appointment before its grand departure?
According to the sage Hougan, the arcane forces that once spun the yarn of these cycles have lost their merry strength—one might say they’ve been sipping cough syrup rather than performing their usual acrobatics. Even the hallowed Bitcoin halving has shrunk, as he jests, falling in significance by half with each iteration like a sad magician’s disappearing act.
But wait, there’s more! Our oracle further foretells of a more amicable regulatory atmosphere enveloping Bitcoin as if it were a warm, fuzzy blanket, with institutional investors now tossing coins into the magical cryptocurrency fountain. Alas! Hougan proclaims that these “bigger forces” have decided to dance to the beat of their own drum, refusing to adhere to the whims of the four-year cycle like a rebellious teenager.
“i) The slow march of assets into [exchange-traded funds] ETFs is a leisurely 5 – 10 year jaunt. It kicked off in 2024;”
“ii) Broader institutional adoption? Oh, that’s just now sharpening its swords—ETFs are still warming up in the queue while trusty pensions and endowments stare at crypto like it’s a peculiar dish on the menu.”
“iii) Regulatory progress began to gather steam in January 2025 and will meander along for years, like a tortoise plotting its escape.”
“iv) Wall Street, bless its cotton socks, has only just begun to explore the glittering realm of crypto, ready to unleash billions as it rolls up its sleeves and dives in, all thanks to the latest stroke of legislative genius known as the GENIUS Act.”
Thus, our enlightened Bitwise oracle suggests these new forces will loom larger than those antiquated four-year cycles—a sort of cosmic game of musical chairs where the old cycles may find themselves swiftly unseated.
“All this points to a delightful paradox: that the grand, pro-crypto forces will ultimately overshadow the feeble remnants of the four-year cycle, and mark my words, 2026 is shaping up to be a year worth celebrating with all the confetti we can muster!”
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2025-07-26 21:11