Key Takeaways
What’s next for Bitcoin’s price trajectory?
Bitcoin, after years of indecision, may be ready to burst from its long, pre-parabolic slumber. A glorious rally might just be around the corner.
Is there an accumulation trend in play right now?
Inactive supply is on the rise as exchange reserves plummet-sounds like classic accumulation to us.
Oh, Bitcoin. The once-proud titan of the digital currency world, now circling the $100,000 mark like a sad puppy at the gates of the cryptocurrency kingdom. For weeks, it’s been a tiresome dance of indecisiveness, swaying back and forth like some worn-out carnival ride. But wait-could this be the calm before the storm? Is the mighty Bitcoin preparing for a grand resurgence?
Analyst TechDev, with all the authority of a modern-day soothsayer, suggests that the dark days of Bitcoin’s sluggishness may soon be over. Apparently, Bitcoin is exiting its pre-parabolic phase after a tedious three years of build-up. Yes, you read that right: three years. Not three days, not three weeks-three long, agonizing years. But the end might be near, and a rally could be the reward for our collective patience.
Bitcoin in a pre-parabolic phase?
TechDev’s analysis speaks of the “pre-parabolic phase,” that oh-so-glamorous period before an asset is ready to truly pop. It’s the financial equivalent of waiting for a kettle to boil, but hey, some people find that exciting. Bitcoin has been trudging through this phase since 2022, with chart data suggesting that the end might be nigh. Historically, this phase has been a harbinger of the mighty bull markets-or perhaps the dreaded bear markets. It’s a gamble, but one we all must take.

The chart, flashing in its unapologetic glory, reveals a business cycle signal that’s finally reached a point of potential. Will it lead to the glorious price swings of the past, or will it simply fizzle out like so many of Bitcoin’s previous attempts at grandeur? Only time will tell, but optimism hangs in the air like the scent of an impending storm.
Exchange reserves drop, inactive Bitcoin supply rises
But wait, there’s more! Bitcoin reserves on centralized exchanges have taken a nosedive. A sharp one, too. At the time of writing, only 2.38 million Bitcoin remain on exchanges-an all-time low. We know what this means: investors are clearly transferring their assets to private wallets, embracing long-term storage, and reducing the supply available for quick-selling. In other words, they’re hoarding-hiding their precious in the depths of their digital vaults. Could it be that they know something we don’t? 🤔

And let’s not forget the inactive Bitcoin supply, which is swelling like a balloon ready to burst. Every time Bitcoin prepares to launch into a parabolic phase, this inactive supply rises dramatically. Back in 2017 and 2021, it surged by 20% and 10%, respectively. Between 2024 and 2025, it has climbed by another 10%, and the trend is-surprise, surprise-continuing. More Bitcoin is being tucked away, less available for market liquidation, and it’s creating the kind of scarcity that could send prices through the roof. 🤷♂️
What are long-term holders doing?
Of course, no Bitcoin story would be complete without the mysterious long-term holders. The old-guard investors who sit atop their digital thrones and watch the chaos below. Data reveals that they’ve been offloading their assets, ever so slowly, but surely. A high Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) value is one such indicator, pointing to the fact that these long-term holders are moving their coins-probably not because they’re losing faith, but because, well, taxes and profits await. A clever little maneuver, don’t you think?

Fidelity’s own Chris Kuiper seems to agree, noting that October’s seasonal patterns didn’t quite play out as expected. As the calendar year draws to a close, these long-term holders are making “tax and positional changes,” probably sneaking in a little profit-taking while they’re at it. But don’t fret-this doesn’t necessarily spell doom for Bitcoin. Oh no, there’s a silver lining. According to Jeff Park, an investment advisor at Bitwise, volatility is coming. In fact, he urges investors to embrace it as an opportunity. Maybe that means more chaos before the big rally. Or maybe he’s just playing the long game, as we all must.
“Volatility is coming. Buy Bitcoin.” Ah, the sweet sound of wisdom wrapped in a catchy slogan.
And let’s not forget the macroeconomic forces at play. Maria Carola, CEO of StealthEx, seems to think that the rebound in the crypto market is due to traders positioning themselves for a more normalized macro environment. She’s probably right. After all, liquidity stress can’t last forever, can it?
So, dear Bitcoin enthusiasts, the sentiment remains decidedly bullish. The market is positioning itself for something big. The question, as always, is: will it be the rally of a lifetime, or the crash of a century? Stay tuned. 😉
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2025-11-14 09:33