AVAX’s Wild Ride: Will It Hit $400 or Crash Like a Party Guest?

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Adoption is the true measure of success. Or, as I like to call it, “the crypto world’s version of a reality TV show where everyone’s pretending they’re not desperate.”

In January 2026, the crypto market faced a downturn, but signs of recovery emerged by February. Because nothing says “resilience” like a bunch of people nervously high-fiving over a spreadsheet. Despite broader challenges, Avalanche showed resilience, excelling in real-world asset (RWA) tokenization. Because who doesn’t want to tokenize a toaster?

By the 3rd of February, AVAX ranked third in development activity, behind Hedera [HBAR] and Chainlink [LINK]. Because nothing says “innovation” like being the third wheel at a party.

In Q4 2025, tokenized assets on AVAX grew 68.6%, with a TVL of $1.3 billion, bolstered by BlackRock and FIS, according to findings. Because nothing says “trust” like a bunch of big banks suddenly caring about blockchain.

With market sentiment still fragile, the key question remains: Can AVAX’s real-world adoption drive its price higher? Or is this just the crypto equivalent of a “I’m fine, really” text message?

Avalanche at a bounce zone: $145 next?

On the 3rd of January, Avalanche found itself at a crucial price point: the $10 support zone. After failing to hold above the $11 level toward the end of January, Avalanche [AVAX] dipped to this support level on the 31st of January. Because nothing says “confidence” like a coin that’s basically a yo-yo.

At this level, AVAX showed signs of life, as it hadn’t been at this price since 2023. This attempt at price stabilization suggested a solid base from which the coin could push upwards, with local resistance only at $14.5. Because apparently, the universe’s favorite number is 14.5.

From there, there was no major resistance between that level and $145. This wasn’t just hope, but what else could have backed this move? Maybe a magical unicorn?

AVAX: Whale activity skyrockets

Whale activity on AVAX surged, as shown by the spot average order size chart from CryptoQuant above. Whales aggressively accumulated near the $10 support zone, reflecting patterns from the 2021 dip. Because nothing says “I’m a genius” like buying low and hoping someone else will sell high.

While retail traders hesitated, whales saw deep value at these price levels and positioned themselves for a potential rebound. This buying pressure could drive AVAX to new heights. Or just a really fancy yacht.

AVAX ETF sees massive inflows

AVAX has been a hot topic recently, especially after the launch of the $AVAX ETF by VanEck on the 27th of January. Because nothing says “serious investment” like a ETF that’s basically a crypto version of a “I’m not a scam, really” promise.

By the 31st of January, the ETF had already attracted $1.24 million in net inflows, signaling early institutional interest in the asset. Because nothing says “trust” like a few million dollars from people who probably didn’t read the fine print.

That said, while this figure may seem small, it marks the beginning of a broader shift towards AVAX. As more institutional players recognize its potential, could we see even greater momentum and inflows moving forward? Or is this just the crypto version of a “maybe” text?

Final Thoughts

  • With strong backing from institutions and whales, AVAX could see its price skyrocket towards $400. Or maybe just a really good day at the casino.
  • Continued market volatility from Bitcoin could impact this growth, and losing the $10 level could send AVAX down to $8.79. Because nothing says “excitement” like a coin that’s basically a rollercoaster with no safety harness.

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2026-02-04 09:53