Why Bitcoin is Stuck in a Time Loop: A Comedic Take on Cycles and Crashes

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Ah, the Bitcoin price, that elusive specter, now flitting about in a range between $60K and $70K! It’s like watching a cat dance on a hot tin roof-nervous, uncertain, and all too familiar. If we are indeed witnessing a bullish divergence phase reminiscent of that grand spectacle following the infamous 2021 crash, then the current Bitcoin price predictions may just drive our ambitious bulls to distraction, more so than the bearish bears ever could.

First Top Shock Repeats

According to the sage analysts, March 2021 marked our first major crescendo-a symphony of exuberance where retail investors were euphoric and the RSI was stretched thinner than a tightrope walker over a vat of boiling water. And then, like a prodigal son, came the sharp correction, knocking everyone off their feet.

Fast forward to December 2024, when the ghosts of the past whisper sweet nothings. The 2021 all-time high was turned upside down, giving birth to the first apex of this latest cycle-following the great 2021 debacle, of course.

Then the second peak arrived in the theatrical October of 2025, where the price pirouetted to a dazzling 126K. And here we are in 2026, marveling at how the structure is awkwardly similar-like a bad sequel that nobody asked for.

Markets cool off after such vertical escapades; it’s not drama, dear reader, but the cold mechanics of BTC price action. The levels it holds could lead us down two convoluted paths: the first being a catastrophic failure to maintain that precious $60K, leading to yet another market crash; or, it could repeat its post-2022 shenanigans.

Thus, if the price manages to dodge the slippery slope below $60K while forming a bullish RSI divergence, we might just witness a phase reminiscent of the 2022 reset post-2021 crash. Not identical, mind you, but tantalizingly close enough to raise some eyebrows-perhaps even a few eyebrows too many!

Second Peak, Weaker Momentum

Let’s take a whimsical gander at the follow-up momentum after each primary bullish rally. In March 2021, the initial rally hit its first peak, and by the illustrious October of that year, we had a follow-up moment that delivered the second top. Oh, it looked strong, it felt bullish! But alas, the momentum was already waning, weaker than a kitten trying to roar.

Then came those excruciating weeks filled with red candles, a real feast for the pessimists. Now, as we squint into the horizon of October 2025, we see ourselves at a second peak once again, where the next RSI divergence seems like a tantalizing option-a bit like a dessert you’re told you can’t have.

History doesn’t replay perfectly, much like a broken gramophone. However, it does tend to rhyme, and this particular performance feels almost scripted-if only that pesky $60K doesn’t vanish like smoke in a magician’s act.

The Boring Base Phase

Ah, the 2022 exhaustion phase-where momentum remained trapped within the confines of boredom, often referred to as the “boring phase.” Now, lo and behold, here in 2026, we find ourselves facing a similar fate. The weekly RSI is hanging around zones that previously signified exhaustion, almost as if it’s waiting for someone to break the silence.

This is the part no one enjoys-the compression, the sideways drift, the narrative fatigue. It’s like watching paint dry, only less exciting. But structurally, my friends, this is where long-term cycles often rebuild, much like a phoenix rising from the ashes, or perhaps just a pigeon cooing in the park.

And here lies the kicker: the previous peak-to-new-ATH cycle took a leisurely 30 months. From the heights of 2021 to the breakout of 2024, time was the key player-not the hyperbolic hype or any shiny catalyst.

If this rhythm holds true from the October 2025 second peak, we are stretching our anticipation toward the years 2027-2028. Most of 2026 could unfold in this tedious compression, like a sitcom that runs far too long.

Even the projected $120K to $130K zone won’t be knocking on our doors anytime soon. If history teaches us anything, it’s that it will arrive late, fashionably so, and possibly with a side of disappointment.

So, what awaits us next? If history’s cadence proves reliable, the Bitcoin price may simply be trundling through its “base-building” chapter. No collapse, no instant moonshot-just time, doing what it has always done: compress first, expand later. And if this cycle truly isn’t different, then the real Bitcoin price analysis suggests that breakout might be delayed, not denied. Stay tuned, folks! The show must go on.

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2026-02-18 15:46