Bitcoin at $100K? Bulls Party, Bears Sulk, and Everyone Watches—Is This the Moon?

At last, Bitcoin appears to have once more pried itself from the clutches of paralyzing tedium, vaulting past the unyielding $95,000 ceiling in much the manner of a nouveau riche debutante crashing an invitation-only ball. However, the market’s collective monocle now swivels to the $100,000 mark—a number so round, so alluring, that it’s virtually perfumed with psychological significance and investors’ sweaty anticipation. Will it usher in waves of euphoric profit-taking? Or simply serve as a springboard from which Bitcoin will execute another improbable leap into the champagne-soaked stratosphere? 🍾🚀

Technical Analysis

By ShayanMarkets (society’s preferred chronicler of speculative excess)

The Daily Chart

Bitcoin’s most recent escapade above the $95,000 resistance has inspired bullish hearts everywhere to add another zero to their email signatures. For months, this level functioned as a sort of velvet rope, keeping out riff-raff and parvenus—until, inevitably, they found another way in. Following a listless period of sideways dawdling, buyers returned like optimistic wasps at a June picnic, emboldened by some tick or another on a chart apparently visible only to them.

The $95,000 level—once thought impregnable by those who had mistaken fatigue for fortitude—bowed to streaming optimism. Alas, no sooner were the confetti cannons fired than the $100,000 resistance loomed into view: round, rotund, and as enticingly symbolic as a five-figure bottle of port. This level, let’s not pretend, will almost certainly be populated by the sort of sellers who turn up early to estate sales and institutional “friends” who never return your calls during a downturn.

Should bullish spirits contrive an audacious break above this psychological fortress, the next destination would be an all-time high at $109,000. At this rate, one half expects Satoshi Nakamoto to descend from the clouds with new commandments.BTC Daily Chart

The 4-Hour Chart

We turn now to the 4-hour chart, lest the casual observer assume shorter timeframes appeal only to the chronically impatient. Here, Bitcoin executed a curt detour at $95,000, forming what technical analysts like to call “sideways consolidation” and what the rest of us might dub “hovering in a state of indecision over the dessert trolley.” This interlude was, to no one’s surprise, fleeting, as hungry buyers swept in to break past $95,000, proving once and for all that reluctance is no match for FOMO supercharged with borrowed money.

A caveat, though—should Bitcoin fail to seduce $100,000 on its maiden approach, there is every chance that prudent profit-takers (and the less prudent “smart money”) shall stage a rejection worthy of a jilted lover, driving the price down to $90,000, where moving averages gather patiently, awaiting company. On the other hand, the more fashionable scenario—a consolidation below $100,000—offers the opportunity for the market to gather strength, gossip, and momentum, possibly for a renewed advance on the all-time high at $109,000.BTC 4-hour Chart

On-Chain Analysis

By Shayan, your tireless observer of the blockchain’s inner workings

Let us now examine the Taker Buy/Sell Ratio, for no market commentary is complete without an on-chain metric as impenetrable to outsiders as Old Etonian slang. This ratio—an elaborate tally of who is panic-buying versus quietly selling on platforms like Binance—has climbed sharply, acquiring the sort of trajectory normally reserved for balloons let loose at children’s parties.

This surge lends credence to the idea that investors now prefer to buy enthusiastically and at market prices, rather than skulking on limit orders like bashful chaperones. Welcome to an era where missing out is regarded as a fate worse than a bear market. While such euphoric zeal is liable to provoke another short squeeze—or perhaps even a celebratory meme or two—the only certainty is that somewhere, someone is already preparing to sell into your euphoria.Taker Buy/Sell Ratio

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2025-05-02 08:58