Behold, good audience, Bitcoin, that silver coin of caprice, doth endeavor to mend its recent misfortunes by reclaiming the vantage of $95,000, a childish flourish that stirs a twinkling optimism for the nonce. The rally, like a timid actor, hath vaulted BTC to a two-month high, yet the curtain remaineth drawn upon the recovery-the play is far from finish’d. ๐๐ฐ
In truth, the stage doth present a grander trial. The space ‘twixt 98,000 and 110,000 dollars is its sternest resistance hitherto; a wall as thick as a playwright’s irony, and perhaps as heavy as a bankerโs purse. ๐
The Holders of Bitcoin Display Theatrical Opportunities to Sell
From the keen gaze of the cost-basis heatmap, the farce is plain. Since November of 2025, every flutter of an ascent falters in a crowded market chorus, a dense cluster from about $93,000 to $110,000. This region holds coins bought at former triumphs, yelping as soon as the price returns, a chorus of willing sellers, a veritable spill of rustled capes. ๐๏ธ
Every ascent into this range awakens renewed distribution from the long-time holders. Thus Bitcoin hath failed to sustain grand recoveries despite repeated bravos of breakout. With price pressing again into this overhead supply, the market encounters a familiar test of resilience. Absorbing this distribution is the sine qua non of any lasting reversal, methinks. ๐
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On the broader stage, the Net Realized Profit and Loss for long-term holders paints a calmer portrait. Current scrolls say they realize about 12,800 BTC each week in net profit, a trifle compared with former acts that boasted over 100,000 BTC per week. A modest wind, indeed, yet not a vanished storm. ๐ฌ๏ธ
The comedy of profit-taking grows gentler; sales remain, yet with less gusto. This moderation lessens the immediate danger of a plunge, but it does not banish the selling side. The market’s fate now rests on demand’s vigor, especially from those who hoarded Bitcoin in the bright days of Q2 2025. If demand cannot swallow the supply, the ascent shall wane, and momentum may wane as well. ๐คนโโ๏ธ๐ธ
Around the long view, the True Market Mean around $81,000 remains a steadfast beacon. Keep thou the price above this lodestar and the macro outlook grows hopeful; let it slip, and capitulation risk swells, echoing the dreary interlude from April 2022 to April 2023. ๐ฏ๏ธ
BTC’s Courage to Cross the Gate of $98,000
Bitcoin doth hover near $96,302 at the moment of quill-wet, marking its loftiest perch in two moons. The ascent beyond $95,000 hath lifted spirits and drawn BTC nearer the gate of $98,000. The merry wind of the moment remains favorable so long as price clings to the risen supports. ๐
Yet the leap past 98k and the keeping of the plateau above 95k shall prove a thorny comedy. The overhead supply is heavy as a peasant’s purse, and any revival of selling may turn triumph into farce in a heartbeat. If investors decide to lock profits, the coin could drift below 95k again, and a deeper retreat toward 91,471 becomes a probable curtain drop. ๐๐
A rosier ending remains possible if long-term holders curb their selling still further. If the distribution dries up, Bitcoin could crow over 98,000, even tempt the fabled 100,000. To turn that mental landmark into support would alter the mood most agreeably. From thence, a plausible journey to 110,000 lies ahead, though novel thickets of resistance would arise beyond six figures. ๐ค๐ฐ
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2026-01-15 12:22