Bitcoin Crash At Hand? This Key Metric Hints At A Potential Price Drop To $40,000

As a seasoned researcher with over two decades of market analysis under my belt, I’ve seen more than a few bull and bear markets come and go. The current trajectory of Bitcoin is reminding me of the infamous Japan Stock Market downswing and subsequent market crash that I witnessed in the late ’80s.


Ever since the widespread stock market plunge due to the steep fall of the Japanese Stock Exchange, Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, has seen frequent large price fluctuations. These fluctuations have sparked speculation about a massive price decrease as various critical indicators have shown bearish trends, hinting at a potential prolonged downturn.

Bitcoin Could See Bearish Movement To $40,000

Bitcoin, showing signs of a downward trend, has led Grizzly, a technical and on-chain analyst, to issue a warning. He predicts that Bitcoin’s price might drop to around $40,000. This pessimistic forecast for Bitcoin is supported by the important NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) indicator.

As a seasoned investor with years of experience under my belt, I have come to appreciate the value of tools like the NUPL metric. To me, it is an essential gauge that helps me discern the sentiment of fellow Bitcoin investors and potential sellers. Over time, I’ve learned that understanding this mood can be key in making informed decisions about my own investments. With the ever-changing landscape of cryptocurrency markets, having a reliable tool like NUPL at my disposal is invaluable. It helps me navigate through the turbulent waters of Bitcoin investing and make more confident moves towards achieving my financial goals.

When the NUPL (Negative Up Volume Index) is high, it implies that a substantial portion of the market is experiencing gains, potentially causing some to sell or cash out their profits. Conversely, when the NUPL is low, this indicates that most market players are suffering losses, which may foster more buying activity or a generally optimistic sentiment.

Based on the analyst’s analysis, the NUPL (Negative Up-volume to Positive Volume Ratio) values are approaching a zone that historically signals a potential decrease in Bitcoin’s price. At present, it is hovering near the important level of 0.4, which suggests a possible drop in its future direction.

Historically, the 0.4 level has served as a significant point of both support and resistance. Based on available data, falling below this threshold often indicates the commencement of a strong bearish phase in the market. If the index persists in its downward trajectory, Grizzly predicts that bears could potentially gain full control of the market.

Based on their predictions, an expert foresees a significant decrease in Bitcoin’s value towards $40,000 in the near future. However, an analyst suggests a price drop driven by the NUPL metric. Yet, he clarifies that the current downturn is not intense enough to definitively mark the end of the bullish trend.

BTC Experiences Slight Rebound

Based on Bitcoin’s unpredictable characteristics, Grizzly’s analysis serves as a heads-up for crypto investors about the possibility of price fluctuations for this digital currency in the upcoming period.

At present, the digital asset is showing positive momentum, having briefly regained strength around $56,632. However, despite this recovery, Bitcoin has dropped over 3% in the last seven days, reaching $58,531.

Despite a predominantly negative market outlook, the asset continues to hold potential for additional growth due to a significant increase (over 6%) in its daily trading activity. This uptick indicates growing optimism among investors.

Bitcoin Crash At Hand? This Key Metric Hints At A Potential Price Drop To $40,000

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2024-08-16 21:12