Under the shadow of a sun that seemed to flicker like a tired lantern, the macro trader plur daddy, a man with eyes like weathered steel, whispered that Bitcoin’s 2026 destiny hinges not on the cryptic whispers of blockchain, but on the fickle mood of U.S. liquidity-those elusive ghosts that haunt the balance sheets of banks and brokers alike.
His tale was one of strained plumbing, of a financial system gasping under the weight of leverage that had grown fatter than a harvest moon. “The pipes are clogged,” he muttered, “and the markets, like a restless crowd, toss their coins into the void.” The equities, once steady as a river, now danced with the chaos of a storm, while crypto, that wayward child of the digital age, found itself shunned by the very winds that once carried it.
4 Macro Themes Will Be Crucial For Bitcoin
The first theme, a tale of the Fed’s reserve management purchases, was likened to a farmer sowing seeds in a field of uncertainty. “A $40bn monthly sowing,” he said, “but the soil is still hard, and the harvest? A gamble.” The initial $38bn had barely stirred the earth, for the year-end closing of books had left the fields barren, yet hope lingered like a stubborn weed.
“This is no QE,” he warned, “just a bandage on a broken leg. Don’t expect miracles, but maybe a limp will turn to a walk.” The numbers, he admitted, were a guess-a guesstimate as shaky as a drunkard’s step. “$100-200bn? A guess, but a guess that might just tip the scales.”
The second theme, fiscal incrementality, was a slow burn, a fire that smoldered rather than roared. “A $12-15bn monthly expansion,” he said, “but the tariffs? They’re the wolves at the door, gnawing at the heels of progress.” The eSLR change, a minor breeze, and the promise of deregulation loomed like a distant thundercloud.
The third theme, disinflation, was a tale of balance. “The economy, a child teetering on a tightrope,” he mused, “soft enough to breathe, but not so soft as to fall.” The Fed, a cautious parent, would cut rates like a surgeon with trembling hands, while the markets, ever the skeptics, bet on a single cut in January.
Finally, the political theme, a tale of loyalty and betrayal. “Trump, the king of loyalty,” he said, “will choose a chair who bends to his will, not one who stands tall.” The nomination of Hassett, he claimed, would send gold soaring like a hawk, while equities, like a wary fox, would twitch but eventually follow.
For Bitcoin, the verdict was a cautious nod. “It could rise,” he said, “but gold? That’s the safer bet, a hearth in a storm.” Yet, he warned, “If you must play, wait for the winds to shift, for the liquidity to bloom.”
At press time, BTC traded at $87,053, a number as cold as the moon’s face.

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2025-12-24 16:12