Alright, so according to some crypto genius who goes by ‘CRYPTO₿IRB’ – yeah, with the ₿ like he’s money or something – the Bitcoin bull market is clocking out in 50 days. Late October is apparently the grand finale. 🎉 Because, of course, we love countdowns to financial heartbreak.
He’s all serious about this “cycle peak countdown” stuff, saying Bitcoin’s 95% cooked – bleeding through a typical Q3 shakeout, whatever that means. Is anyone else picturing a bull with a paper cut?
Now, this super scientific prediction is based on exact timing. Like, how many days since the last halving, the previous cycle low, and maybe the phase of the moon. It’s been 1,017 days since November 2022’s low (try keeping track, I don’t) and historically, the big bull peaks hit somewhere between 1,060 and 1,100 days. So, boom, put your money on late October to mid-November 2025. Or don’t. I’m just the messenger.
Bull run ends in 50 days.
Cycle Peak Countdown says BTC is 95% done (1,017 days in) as we bleed in “typical Q3 shakeout.”
Use this alpha playbook and retire rich.
(Thread)
– CRYPTO₿IRB (@crypto_birb) September 4, 2025
Is This Time the Charm?
So, apparently, the last halving happened in April 2024 – which was 503 days ago. Historical peaks pop up between 518 and 580 days afterward. We’re 77% to 86% through that window, which he calls the “hot zone.” Yeah, sounds like a spa, not financial doom.
“We’re 77% to 86% through that window. Basically, entering the hot zone,” he says.
And here’s the kicker: after the peak, Bitcoin typically drops like a bad habit – 70% to 80% over a bit more than a year. So, congratulations, 2026 bear market season is coming, and it’s a 100% historical probability. That’s like saying the sun will rise tomorrow, but with more tears.
Remember 2021? Bitcoin took a little September detour, dropping 24%, then decided to go to Disneyland and doubled the next two months before crashing 72%. Classic rollercoaster, folks.
“Historically, Bitcoin finds a low in September of the post-halving year, then bounces into the market cycle top in Q4,” says this ITC Crypto guy, Benjamin Cowen. Big words. Big hopes.
But wait! Some analysts want to tell you it’s different this time. Institutional adoption, ETFs, corporate treasuries – fancy words for “grown-ups are playing now,” and we’ve got a pro-crypto government. So it’s not just retail FOMO anymore, no sir!
Also, the Fed might cut rates in two weeks, making borrowing cheaper. Because nothing says “perfect timing” like cheaper debt right before a market crash.
BTC Price Outlook
Right now, Bitcoin’s stuck somewhere between $107,500 and $112,500 – like that one friend who can’t decide what to order at a restaurant. It’s made some lower lows, but support’s still hanging on, like a bad haircut you’re pretending you like.
At the time I’m pretending to write this, BTC was $112,200, having flirted with a dip under $109,500 on Thursday. Expect more chop this weekend because apparently, the market is immune to good news. Yeah, sure.
So, sit tight or panic. Your choice. Either way, I’m just waiting for my invite to that “retire rich” alpha playbook party. 🍸
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2025-09-05 10:09