Key Takeaways
- Our little BTC is playing a delicate game of high-wire profit; stay calm, but if it slips below $118K, we might need to check its pulse below the $100K grave.
Picture this: Bitcoin [BTC] prancing about like a high-spirited chap hitting a new all-time high, only to be greeted by a rather rude correction that squashed it back to $118,250. You can almost hear the dramatic music playing, can’t you?
It seems our crypto darling might just be in the grips of a corrective phase, like a wayward student learning the hard way that too much exuberance can lead to a trip to the headmaster’s office.
Now, don your best Sherlock Holmes hat, for the STH Unrealized Profit chart hints at a potential rally toward the magnificent $136,000! The worst-case scenario? A cozy retreat back to the $101,000 accumulation zone. Talk about dodging a bullet!
Unrealized Profit shows more room to run
Despite frolicking at a new high of $123,000, our dear Bitcoin appears to be merely warming up. The crowd hasn’t even begun tossing confetti yet!
A key player in this theatrical production is the BTC’s STH Relative Unrealized Profit metric. This curious little indicator divides the market into three zones: neutral (blue), heated (yellow), and overheated (red) – rather reminiscent of a temperature gauge left unattended at a summer picnic.
Historically, local tops signal the entrance of this metric into the heated range, much like a distinguished guest arriving at a soirée; remember January and April 2024? And yet, despite its recent high jinks, Bitcoin remains shy of the heated zone – more room for mischief!
Additionally, the Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) liquidity chart is positively beaming with bullish confidence, showing the price happily dancing above the VWAP line.
Timing the breakout – How many days left?
Bitcoin is currently strutting about on day 12 of its expansion cycle, according to Bitcoin Vector’s Optimal Signal indicator. The excitement is building—much like waiting for the next great theatrical debut!
Previous rallies have enjoyed a grand old time lasting thirty days. This model suggests our friend here has about 18 days left for more exhilarating upswing—if it decides to stick to the script!
With these promising conditions, AMBCrypto, in its infinite wisdom, has analyzed Bitcoin’s potential trajectory. Will bullish pressure continue, or will the bears come charging back in like a troupe of disgruntled thespians?
THIS points to $136K BTC target
In a turn of events worthy of a Shakespearean plot twist, Glassnode’s Short-Term Holder Cost Basis Model suggests that BTC could indeed waltz its way to a splendid $136,000.
This delectable $136,000 level aligns with the lofty +2 standard deviation band—also known as the “heating up!” zone—historically foreshadowing market corrections faster than you can say “sell!”
Yet, should Bitcoin fail to muster the poise required for a grand upward leap, two critical support zones could come into play, much like a safety net for a tightrope walker.
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If BTC tumbles into the first cluster and fails to spring back with gusto, one might just as well start placing bets on a drop into that second support band—witnessing Bitcoin flirting uncomfortably close with the $100,000 level. How delightful! 😊
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2025-07-16 21:16