Ah, the tormented soul of Bitcoin, trapped in its existential crisis below the $105,000 threshold, yet clinging desperately to the $100,000 abyss like a man grasping at the edge of a precipice. The bulls, once proud and roaring, now whimper in the shadows, their momentum stolen by the cruel hand of fate. And the sellers? They too are weary, their knives dulled by the relentless resistance of the price. What a farce, this dance of greed and fear! According to the oracle Darkfost, the market has entered its penitential phase, a deleveraging purgatory born from the October 10 liquidation massacre-a structural reset that strips the system of its excesses, like a monk shedding his worldly possessions.
Behold, the data speaks! Open interest, that fickle measure of futures contracts, has plummeted by 21% in the past 90 days-a nosedive so steep it rivals the despair of a man realizing his life’s work was but a folly. This is the sound of traders retreating, tails between their legs, as liquidations cleanse the overleveraged from their midst. Oh, the irony! The very instruments of their ambition become the noose around their necks.
Darkfost, that modern-day Cassandra, observes with detached amusement that leverage is cooling, its fever breaking like a sinner’s repentance. This drawdown, he notes, echoes the cleansing fires of September 2024 and April 2025, when the market was forced to confront its own hubris. History, it seems, is but a series of repeats, each more absurd than the last. And yet, in these moments of forced unwinding, there is hope-a phoenix rising from the ashes of speculation, as liquidity stabilizes and the market regains its footing, however briefly.
The Deleveraging Farce: A Turning Point or Another Illusion?
Darkfost, ever the prophet of nuance, draws parallels between this deleveraging phase and past corrections that birthed recoveries as fleeting as a lover’s promise. In September 2024 and April 2025, open interest fell by 24% and 29%, respectively-deep enough to flush out the excess, yet shallow enough to leave room for doubt. And now, with a 21% decline, Bitcoin teeters on the edge of history, a tightrope walker blindfolded and drunk. But is this truly bearish? Or is it, as Darkfost suggests, a necessary exorcism of greed, a cleansing ritual for a market too long intoxicated by its own hype?
By forcing the overleveraged to exit, the market sheds its excesses like a snake molting its skin. Speculation cools, and in its place, a fragile stability emerges. Long-term investors, those sober-minded souls, begin to circle like vultures, seeking entry points untainted by the madness of the crowd. If Bitcoin holds above $100K through this trial, it may signal that the worst is over-or perhaps merely that the market has grown weary of its own drama. A new impulse phase could follow, but only if confidence, that fickle mistress, deigns to return.
BTC‘s Tightrope Walk: Consolidation or Stalling Doom?
The weekly chart reveals Bitcoin trapped in a consolidation range between $100,000 and $105,000, a prisoner of its own indecision. The 100-day moving average, that blue line of hope, holds firm, as buyers cling to this psychological zone like shipwrecked sailors to a raft. Yet the momentum indicators tell a different tale-weakness, stagnation, the struggle to reclaim $110,000, a resistance level as stubborn as a mule. Trading volume has waned since the October liquidation, a silent testament to investor hesitation and the exhaustion of forced selling. A weekly close above $106,000 might reignite bullish dreams, while a fall below $100,000 could spell deeper corrections, a descent into the $92,000 abyss.

And so, we wait. The long-term trend remains bullish, the 200-week moving average a beacon of hope in this sea of uncertainty. But hope, as we know, is a cruel companion, promising salvation while delivering only more torment. Will Bitcoin rise again, or is this but another act in its tragic comedy? Only time, that indifferent spectator, will tell. 🕰️🤡
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2025-11-13 22:48