Amidst the bustling life of financial markets, where every tick and tock of the clock seems to carry the weight of a thousand hopes and fears, Bitcoin finds itself once again at the crossroads of historical patterns and human speculation. According to the sages of statistics, our beloved cryptocurrency sets its monthly high or low within the first 12 days of the month more often than not-about 80% of the time, to be precise.
“Patience, my dear friends, patience!” exclaimed Daan Crypto Trades, a full-time trader and analyst, with a twinkle in his eye. “The first few days of the month are like a tempestuous sea, full of choppy waves and unexpected turns. But if you can weather the storm, the rewards might just surprise you.”
However, the seasoned trader couldn’t help but add a note of caution. “September, my friends, is not the kindest month to our digital darling. But fear not! October and November are generally very generous. So, if you see a significant dip at the start of this month, keep your eyes peeled and your wallets ready.”
$BTC A new month ahead. Statistics say that Bitcoin sets its monthly high or low within the first 12 days of the month 80%+ of the times. It’s been a good strategy to wait out the first few days of the month as it generally sees choppy price action with a lot of shakeouts.… – Daan Crypto Trades (@DaanCrypto) September 1, 2025
And if history is any guide, Bitcoin’s September blues are far from a myth. According to CoinGlass, Bitcoin has declined in 8 out of the last 12 Septembers, a fact that does little to inspire confidence among the bulls. In the infamous ‘Septembear’ of 2017 and 2021, BTC plummeted by more than 7%, a scenario that could see it sliding to just over $100,000 by the end of the month.
“Historically, September has been the worst month for Bitcoin, with an average return of -3.47% over the past 13 years,” observed analyst ‘Mags,’ shaking his head in resignation.
#Bitcoin – Buy in September, Sell in November? Historically, September has been the worst month for Bitcoin, with an average return of -3.47% over the past 13 years, while October and November have been the most bullish months for Bitcoin. – Mags (@thescalpingpro) September 1, 2025
But not all hope is lost. ‘Crypto Caesar,’ a renowned market predictor, suggested a potential bounce off current levels. However, he warned that a continued downward trend could send BTC back to the $100,000 mark. “Bitcoin is sitting right on the short-term holder realized price,” noted CryptoQuant analyst JA Maartun, “a critical support/resistance level that bears watching closely.”
Moreover, none of the CoinGlass Bitcoin bull market indicators have been triggered yet, a sign that the current decline might just be a predictable seasonal correction.
As of now, Bitcoin is trading up around 2.5% on the day, reclaiming the $110,000 level for the first time since Friday. It bounced off an intraday low of $107,500 to hit $110,500 during early trading in Asia on Tuesday morning, but seems to have hit a wall of resistance. Currently, BTC is 11% down from its all-time high-a relatively shallow dip compared to previous September corrections, but the month is young, and the road ahead is long and uncertain.
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2025-09-02 09:55