Honestly, if youâre looking for a hero saga of Bitcoin rushing in with a cape during global crises, prepare yourself for a plot twist involving a sofa, snacks, and mostly ignoring your panicked calls. Picture Bridget Jones monitoring international headlines, glass of wine in hand: âIsrael and Iran at it again? Hang on, let me check Bitcoin… Oh. It moved a smidge. Whereâs the cheese?â
History lesson: World on fire? Bitcoin mostly snoozes. Itâs like that friend who âforgetsâ your birthday, claims they were meditating, and then turns up at brunch anyway. As it turns out, institutional bigwigs and bandwagon-jumpers have ~some influence~ (read: like the entire market). Still, your average analyst, like AndrĂ© Dragosch (who presumably doesnât own a cape either), tells us: âShort-term chaos = volatility hiccups = nervous price dip.â But in the grand cosmic joke of finance, Bitcoin still carries the aura of That One Risky Assetâąâthe high school rebel who occasionally gets kicked out but somehow graduates just fine.
Now, for a longer plot arc, Mithil Thakore chimes in, essentially saying, âWars = inflation, which, ta-da, could pump Bitcoin!â So if financial markets are burning, at least your coins might be toasting marshmallows. đ„đ„
But donât get all âBitcoin as my knight in blockchain armorââsometimes, stoic price action just means the whole market is doomscrolling like the rest of us. The following melodrama highlights just how little Bitcoin sometimes gives a toss:
Israel-Iran war (June 13, 2025)
June 13: Israel whacks Iran, press presses panic buttons, and Bitcoin? Subdued yawn; maybe a micro-frown. Calls for U.S. involvement, analysts having minor meltdownsâbut Bitcoinâs just ordering another coffee.
Minor blip in price. âDoesnât seem fussed,â says analyst Za, possibly while knitting a new hodl scarf. Michael Saylor, who treats BTC dips like supermarket discounts, went on another $1 billion shopping spree. Meanwhile, Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy, now just flexing) drops a fresh BTC-backed stock on Nasdaq. Basically: war? What war? Pass the caviar.
Israel-Iran embassy bombing (April 1, 2024)
April Foolâs Day: Not so funny for the Iranian embassy, or for Bitcoin brieflyâdown 8% after Iranâs little âdonât-touch-my-stuffâ retaliation. Yet, resilience! By the time markets had processsed their feelings, BTC was back, as if nothing ever happened. Itâs the financial worldâs equivalent of ânew phone, who dis?â.
Israel-Gaza war (Oct. 7, 2023)
Horrors in Israel and Gaza: Stocks panic, arms makers jubilant, but Bitcoin? Picture that meme of âThis is fine.â Five-zero days in, BTC is above its start price. Also, governments suddenly care a lot about whoâs buying snacks with crypto. Spoiler: Elliptic says, âNo, Hamas isnât buying rockets with Dogecoin.â
Russiaâs full-scale invasion of Ukraine (Feb. 24, 2022)
If war was bad for Bitcoin, it forgot to check: BTC jumps 16% post-invasion. Everyone in Russia/Ukraine surfs FOMO waves, crypto prices skyrocketing because âbanks closed, but blockchain open, baby!â Ukraine gets a crypto care package worth $70MâEat your heart out, Western Union. Then, Terra/Luna blew up and Bitcoin plummeted, but, plot twist: it was nothing to do with the actual war. đż
Bitcoinâs price and internal conflicts
Meanwhile, the worldâs less headline-hogging wars (Ethiopia, Myanmar) made as much impact on Bitcoinâs price as my gym membership has on my actual fitness. Tigray war? Bitcoin too busy with pandemic FOMO and MicroStrategyâs shopping addiction. Myanmar coup? Bitcoinâs only coup was a price moonshot to ATH. Blonde-on-the-phone vibes: âWait did something happen?â
Who cares about geographic proximity to war? Markets close to battle zones get the shakes. But Bitcoin? Mostly owned by the Wall Street Huns, a few trading bros, and possibly my neighborâs dog. By December 2024, ETFs had hoarded more Bitcoin than Satoshi.*
Old school crypto, circa 2013: when mining Bitcoin meant âborrowing your cousinâs gaming PCâ and âmagic internet moneyâ was an actual insult, not a flex. No ETFs, no institutionsâjust darknet dreamers and some guy named Chad who bought pizza with 10 BTC.
Bitcoinâs reaction to war could be changingÂ
âMeh.â Now? âMaybe Iâll send the price chart a little wavy line.â Analysts are crossing fingers, toes, and possibly entire bodiesâif Iran blocks oil exports and the US jumps in, we might see an actual Bitcoin plot twist.
In sum: Bitcoin in wartime is Bridget Jones at a disaster partyâsometimes panicking for a hot minute, mostly flirting with new highs, and always reserving the right to surprise you with absolutely nothing at all. đ„
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2025-06-17 20:16