Crypto And US Stocks Near-Record Correlation Levels After Fed Rate Cut—What To Watch For

As a seasoned crypto investor with a knack for deciphering market trends, I find myself intrigued by the recent correlation between digital assets and traditional equities, particularly the S&P 500 Index. Having navigated through various market cycles since the inception of Bitcoin, this development is a fascinating twist in our ever-evolving financial landscape.


As per a current report by Bloomberg, it appears that cryptocurrencies and U.S. stocks are starting to mirror each other more frequently, indicating a strong connection that hasn’t been noticeable in recent periods. This alignment indicates that the broad economic factors affecting stock markets may also be impacting the digital asset market landscape.

Correlation Between Digital Assets And S&P 500

According to recent data, the connection between a leading index of the top 100 digital assets and the S&P 500 Index is currently around 0.67, which is one of the highest correlations ever recorded. Interestingly, this correlation was only exceeded once, during the second quarter of 2022 when it reached a high of 0.72.

In this scenario, a coefficient of 1 means the assets are closely aligned and moving together, while a value of -1 implies they’re moving opposite to each other.

In simpler terms, the correlation between cryptocurrencies and traditional stocks has become more noticeable ever since the Federal Reserve (Fed) started reducing interest rates by 0.5% recently.

As a researcher, I found myself observing an interesting confluence of events recently. On one hand, the U.S. stock market was touching new highs, while on the other, Bitcoin (BTC) broke through the $64,000 barrier for the first time in over a month, reaching this milestone on a Friday.

Caroline Mauron, one of the co-founders at Orbit Markets – a company focusing on digital asset derivative liquidity – pointed out that global economic conditions are primarily influencing crypto prices right now. She stressed that this pattern is likely to continue during the Fed’s period of monetary easing, unless any unforeseen incidents particular to the cryptocurrency market arise.

Kamala Harris’s Support For Crypto Fuels Investor Hope

As a researcher this week, my primary attention is directed towards insights gleaned from remarks by Federal Reserve officials and the unveiling of their preferred gauge for inflation – the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index. This index will provide valuable insights into current inflation trends and help shape my understanding of the economic landscape.

Sean McNuty, as the director of trading at Arbelos Markets, emphasized the significant role of comments made by Federal Reserve officials. He underscored that these officials’ reactions to economic data play a vital part in helping market participants predict upcoming monetary policies.

On Monday, Bitcoin increased slightly by almost 1%, reaching $63,389. Most significant digital currencies also showed modest increases. However, over the past week, Bitcoin has experienced a growth of around 10%. This upward trend is also seen in U.S. equity futures, indicating that these markets are closely linked.

Crypto And US Stocks Near-Record Correlation Levels After Fed Rate Cut—What To Watch For

The report additionally highlighted that investor confidence has also been strengthened by recent promises made by Vice President Kamala Harris. If elected, she intends to encourage investments in artificial intelligence (AI) and digital currencies like cryptocurrencies.

Moreover, the anticipation of additional financial incentives in China after a decrease in lending rates could boost the optimism surrounding the cryptocurrency market and the remainder of the year.

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2024-09-24 07:11