What to know:
By James Van Straten (All times ET unless youâre awake at 3 a.m.)
Bitcoin (BTC), the cryptocurrency darling that everyone loves to ignore until it skyrockets, just closed Tuesday at a staggering $106,830. Yep, itâs basically pulling off the financial equivalent of that guy at the gym who lifts more than he should, without the minor risk of tearing something. With minimal dips, itâs inching closer to that Jan. 20 high of over $109,000, making experts wonder if weâre all caught in a never-ending episode of âCan It Go Higher?â
This bullishness has made Bitcoin-leveraged stocks look like theyâve had too much coffee, especially Japanâs MetaPlanet (3350), which has surged 160% in 2025 aloneâtalk about a stellar year to be a space-themed tech stock. Strategy (MSTR), the poster child for Bitcoin buying, has added 44%, because apparently, pie charts and bitcoin are now best pals.
MetaPlanet is such a overachiever that it keeps hitting Japanâs daily limit-up faster than you can say âHODL,â freezing trading and turning the market into a slow-motion sci-fi thriller. The speculation about MetaPlanetâs Bitcoin hoardingâthanks to metrics like Days to Cover mNAVâhas investors losing their minds. Meanwhile, CEO Simon Gerovich took to X to say MetaPlanet is now Japanâs most shorted stock, with 25% of shares out on loan, which is perfectly normal if you’re into gambling with other peopleâs money.
Meanwhile, the macroeconomic landscape is one giant confusing puzzle. Japanese bond yields are soaringâ30-year yields above 3.1%, and the 10-year surpassing 1.5%, the highest since 2008. Over in the UK, inflation decided to throw a surprise party, climbing to a 15-month high and pushing yields on 10-year gilts past 5%. Itâs like the worldâs central banks are competing to see who can make bonds more exciting.
With Bitcoin teasing new highs amidst rising yields and inflation, markets are dancing on the edge of chaos. Stay vigilantâor just pretend to understand whatâs happening. đ¤ˇââď¸
Token Events
- Governance votes & calls
- Arbitrum DAO is pondering âThe Watchdog,â a 400,000-ARB bounty for uncovering grant misusesâvoting ends May 23, so hurry!
- Upgrading Arbitrum to âCallistoâ (ArbOS 40), scheduled for June 17, with voting ending May 29âbecause why not upgrade faster than your phone?
- May 21, 11 a.m: Maple announces âthe next chapter,â which I assume involves more confusing jargon.
- May 22: Official Trump to reveal his ânext Eraâ at a fancy dinnerâbecause nothing says âfinancial revolutionâ like food.
- June 10: Ether.fi hosts an analyst callâbecause everyone loves a good Q&A session that might as well be in Martian.
- Unlocks
- Token Launches
- May 21: Mantra (OM) debuts on Upbeat and Crypto.comâbecause we all need more tokens to forget about.
- June 1: Rewards for staking OM end, leaving stakers with a weird feeling of accomplishment.
- June 16: Last chance to unstake stMATIC before Polygonâs sunsetting partyâbye-bye, stale tokens.
Token Talk
By Shaurya Malwa and Oliver Knight
- Hailey Welch, aka âHawk Tuah Girl,â is now backing away from her December 2024 obsessionâHAWK memecoinâprobably because it crashed faster than a karaoke singer in a thunderstorm. Despite calling it âkid-friendly,â it went from $491 million market cap to a sad $104Kâouch! đ¸
- She claims she didnât know much about crypto and is âsickâ that her fans trusted her. Funny, because last November she was all about how much sheâd âlearned,â which now sounds a lot like âI learned I should have kept my mouth shut.â
- Critics on YouTube are having a field day, saying she endorsed a project she clearly understood about as much as quantum physics, which is to say, not at all. Her team insists sheâs legally OK because Cayman Islands or something, and her tokens will vest over three yearsâlike a bad movie plot that drags on forever.
Derivatives Positioning
- Bullish signals emerge: CME futures for BTC have crossed $17 billionâmore than your annual salaryâwhile ETH stalls at $2 billion. Funding rates on offshore exchanges look friendly enough to get you to buy more, or panic sell, whichever suits your mood.
- BCH and TON futures show negative funding, hinting that traders are betting on falling pricesâscreaming âshort squeezeâ quietly in the background.
- Options flows point towards demand for the 180K call expiring in Septemberâprobably hoping to hit the jackpot or just have fun dreaming.
Market Movements
- Bitcoin is down 0.64% since Tuesday at $106,257.16, but itâs still in the greenâbecause markets are super consistent like that.
- Ethereum crept up 0.42% to $2,525.16, doing its best.
- Other indices are ignoring the crypto party: S&P 500 down 0.39%, Nasdaq dipped 0.38%, and DJIA gave a little shrug at -0.27%.
- Gold, silver, and currencies are varying between âmehâ and âthanks for the update.â
- Dollar Index (DXY) is down 0.49%, and gold is enjoying a 1% bumpâguess everyoneâs looking for shiny things.
- Major stock indices are also just chilling: Hang Seng +0.62%, FTSE -0.15%, and the usual suspects doing their thing.
- U.S. 10-year Treasury yield up 5 bps at 4.54%, because someone still loves bonds.
Bitcoin Stats
- Dominance: 64.01% (because Bitcoin is basically the prom queen of crypto)
- ETH/BTC ratio: 0.02378 (who knew ratios could be so exciting?)
- Hashrate: 884 EH/s, or âThe machines are working harder than I do on Monday mornings.â
- Total Fees: 7.42 BTCâbecause nothingâs free, not even in crypto.
Technical Analysis
- Bitcoin peaked at about $108,000 but couldnât keep the party goingâlooks like itâs taking a coffee break, as MACD turns negative.
- Expect some consolidationâbecause markets love to pretend theyâre taking a breather before more chaos.
Crypto Equities
- MSTR closed at $416.92, up slightly, but pre-market shows a tiny dipâbuy the dip, or so they say.
- Coinbase, Galaxy Digital, Mara, Riot, and others are all down a tadâbecause whatâs a day without some stocks tanking?
ETF Flows
Spot BTC ETFs:
- Daily net: $329.2Mâbecause everyone loves buying digital gold this week.
- Cumulative: $42.75Bâenough to buy a small island, or at least a really fancy coffee machine.
- Holdings: 1.19 million BTCâmore than most peopleâs entire life savings.
Spot ETH ETFs:
- Daily net: $64.8Mâbecause ETH is still the cool kid on the block.
- Cumulative: $2.61Bâpretty impressive for a digital art project.
- Holdings: 3.47 million ETHâmore than enough to make any ETH maximalist cheer.
Overnight Flows
Chart of the Day
- Strategy (MSTR) has been speed-dialing Bitcoin at breakneck speedâseriously, itâs like theyâre trying to out-arc the Las Vegas strip. Even during the March-April dip, they kept adding to their $60 billion stash. Because what better way to flex than transforming corporate finance into a crypto carnival?
- “From GameStop to MetaPlanet to Strategyâs stashâBTC is rewriting the rules,” says 21Shares on X. Someone call Harvard, this could be the next business case.
In the Ether
Contributors: Francisco Rodrigues, Siamak Masnavi, Jamie Crawley â because we all need more names to pretend we’re important.
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2025-05-21 14:51