So, Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan thinks crypto’s future is like a bad date – pulled in two directions at once. On one hand, gold‘s skyrocketing like it’s got a rocket strapped to its backside, screaming “institutions don’t trust anyone anymore!” On the other, the Clarity Act’s wobbling like a drunk uncle at a wedding, threatening to leave crypto in regulatory purgatory. What a mess.
In his memo, cleverly titled “Gold Rising, Clarity in Suspense” (because who doesn’t love a good cliffhanger?), Hougan paints a picture of the world that’s basically a financial soap opera. Gold’s at $5,000 an ounce? Great, now my grandma’s jewelry is worth more than my 401(k). Thanks, inflation.
Gold Above $5,000, And Crypto?
Hougan calls gold’s surge “staggering,” which is just a fancy way of saying “holy crap, did you see that?” After a 65% jump in 2025 and another 16% in 2026, gold’s now trading above $5,000. “Pretty wild,” he says. Yeah, Matt, it’s wild. Meanwhile, I’m over here hoping my crypto doesn’t turn into Monopoly money.
Apparently, this isn’t just about shiny metals. It’s about trust-or the lack thereof. Hougan says gold’s rise is a big middle finger to fiat currencies and central banks. “People don’t want their wealth at the mercy of some bureaucrat’s bad decisions,” he writes. Sounds about right. Last time I checked, my bank account wasn’t exactly overflowing with trust.
And here’s where crypto comes in. Hougan’s like, “Hey, crypto’s the answer! No central authority, no trust issues!” Except, you know, except for the part where half the crypto projects are probably scams. But hey, self-custody! Censorship resistance! Trustless systems! It’s all very abstract until your tokens vanish into the ether. Literally.
He even brings up 2022, when the US seized Russian assets like it was Black Friday at the Treasury Department. Central banks freaked out and started hoarding gold like it was toilet paper in 2020. Now, German economists want their gold back from the Fed, and Norway’s worried its wealth fund might get taxed into oblivion. Trust? What’s that?
The Clarity Act’s Wobble
Then there’s the Clarity Act, which Hougan says is crypto’s last hope for regulatory sanity. Without it, we’re back to square one, with Elizabeth Warren potentially running the SEC. Shudder. Prediction markets were all like, “80% chance it passes!” until Coinbase’s CEO called it “unworkable.” Now it’s a coin flip. Pun intended.
If Clarity fails, Hougan predicts a “show me” period for crypto. Basically, crypto’s got three years to prove it’s not just a fad. Stablecoins, tokenized stocks-whatever it takes to convince Americans it’s not just for degenerate gamblers. If it succeeds, regulations will follow. If not, well, let’s just say I’ll be selling my NFTs for pennies.
Hougan compares it to Uber and Airbnb, which basically strong-armed their way into legality by becoming too big to ignore. Crypto needs to do the same, he says. But let’s be real, getting Grandma to use stablecoins is like teaching a cat to fetch. Good luck.
If Clarity passes, investors will price in a crypto utopia. If it fails, we’re back to square one, with markets demanding real-world adoption before they believe the hype. Because, as Hougan puts it, without Clarity, crypto’s regulatory foundation is about as stable as a Jenga tower after a few drinks.
At press time, the total crypto market cap was $2.94 trillion. Which is great, unless it’s all built on sand. Or air. Or whatever metaphor you prefer for uncertainty.

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2026-01-28 08:11