Crypto’s Liquidity Vanished? Larry David’s Take ๐Ÿ˜ฑ๐Ÿ’ธ

What to know: ๐Ÿค”

By Omkar Godbole (All times ET unless Iโ€™m in a different timezone, which Iโ€™m not, but still…)

Bitcoinโ€™s still hanging around $103,000 like a bad houseguest who wonโ€™t leave. ๐Ÿคฆโ€โ™‚๏ธ Meanwhile, ZEC, ICP, and QNT are up 18%-probably because theyโ€™re the only ones with a pulse. ๐Ÿ’ƒ

The crypto marketโ€™s like a game of musical chairs, but the music stopped, and everyoneโ€™s just standing there awkwardly. ๐Ÿช‘ Wintermute calls it โ€œself-funded mode,โ€ which is just a fancy way of saying, โ€œWeโ€™re all broke now.โ€ ๐Ÿฅด

New moneyโ€™s drying up faster than my sense of humor. Stablecoins, ETFs, DATs-all three are on life support. ๐Ÿ’‰ U.S. spot ETFs lost $1.5 billion in two weeks. Thatโ€™s like losing your wallet at a casino, but the casinoโ€™s your 401(k). ๐Ÿ˜ญ

M2 money supplyโ€™s rising, but itโ€™s all going to AI and infrastructure. Cryptoโ€™s like the forgotten middle child. ๐Ÿ˜ข Ray Dalio says the Fedโ€™s โ€œeasing into a bubble,โ€ which sounds like something Iโ€™d do with a bag of chips. ๐ŸŸ

Traders, keep an eye on Bitcoinโ€™s 50-week moving average. If it bounces, we might see new highs. If not, well, time to dust off that resume. ๐Ÿ“ˆ

In other news, Coinbase is begging the U.S. Treasury not to overregulate GENUIS stablecoin. Meanwhile, Lighterโ€™s bot glitch sent HYPE to $100. ๐Ÿค– Chainlinkโ€™s now their oracle partner-because nothing says โ€œtrustโ€ like a bot glitch. ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™‚๏ธ

Dollar index is near resistance at 100.25. If it breaks out, cryptoโ€™s in for more pain. Goldman Sachs says the Supreme Court might rule against Trumpโ€™s tariffs, but donโ€™t hold your breath for China to benefit. ๐ŸŒ

What to Watch ๐Ÿ‘€

For a more comprehensive list, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead.” Or donโ€™t. Iโ€™m not your mom. ๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ’ป

  • Crypto
    • Nothing scheduled. Shocking, I know. ๐Ÿฆ—
  • Macro
    • Nov. 6, 7 a.m.: Bank of England interest-rate decision. Est. 4%. ๐Ÿฆ
    • Nov. 6, 2 p.m.: Mexico central bank interest-rate decision. Est. 7.25%. ๐ŸŒฎ
    • Nov. 6, 2:30 p.m.: Federal Reserve Governor Christopher J. Waller talks about payments. Watch live if youโ€™re into that sort of thing. ๐ŸŽค
  • Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
    • Nov. 6: Block (XYZ), post-market, $0.64. ๐Ÿ’ณ
    • Nov. 6: Iren (IREN), post-market, $0.15. ๐ŸงŠ

Token Events ๐ŸŽŸ๏ธ

For a more comprehensive list, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead.” Again, no pressure. ๐Ÿค“

Conferences ๐ŸŽค

For a more comprehensive list, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead.” Iโ€™m starting to feel like a broken record. ๐ŸŽถ

  • Day 4 of 5: Hong Kong FinTech Week ๐Ÿ™๏ธ
  • Day 3 of 3: Schwab IMPACT 2025 (Denver, Colorado) ๐Ÿ”๏ธ
  • Day 2 of 2: Blockchain Futurist Conference (Miami) ๐ŸŒด
  • Day 1 of 2: Bluechip25 Conference (Vienna) ๐ŸŽป

Market Movements ๐Ÿ“Š

  • BTC is down 0.77% at $102,873.60. 24hrs: +0.73%. ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™‚๏ธ
  • ETH is down 1.58% at $2,607.45. 24hrs: +1.89%. ๐Ÿคนโ€โ™‚๏ธ
  • CoinDesk 20 is down 1.33% at 3,261.54. 24hrs: +1.80%. ๐Ÿงฎ
  • Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is up 5 bps at 3.06%. ๐Ÿ“ˆ
  • BTC funding rate is at 0.0071% (7.7854% annualized) on Binance. ๐Ÿ“‰

  • DXY is down 0.24% at 99.96. ๐Ÿ’ต
  • Gold futures are up 0.59% at $4,016.60. ๐Ÿ†
  • Silver futures are up 0.91% at $48.46. ๐Ÿฅˆ
  • Nikkei 225 closed up 1.34% at 50,883.68. ๐Ÿ—พ
  • Hang Seng closed up 2.12% at 26,485.90. ๐Ÿ™๏ธ
  • FTSE is down 0.28% at 9,749.73. ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง
  • Euro Stoxx 50 is up 0.03% at 5,670.66. ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ
  • DJIA closed on Wednesday up 0.48% at 47,311.00. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
  • S&P 500 closed up 0.37% at 6,796.29. ๐Ÿ“ˆ
  • Nasdaq Composite closed up 0.65% at 23,499.80. ๐Ÿ’ป
  • S&P/TSX Composite closed up 1.09% at 30,103.48. ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
  • S&P 40 Latin America closed up 2.32% at 3,054.60. ๐ŸŒŽ
  • U.S. 10-Year Treasury rate is down 1.9 bps at 4.138%. ๐Ÿ“‰
  • E-mini S&P 500 futures are unchanged at 6,830.00. ๐Ÿ•‘
  • E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are unchanged at 25,759.50. โณ
  • E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index are unchanged at 47,432.00. ๐Ÿ•ฐ๏ธ

Bitcoin Stats ๐Ÿ”ข

  • BTC Dominance: 60.57% (unchanged). ๐Ÿฆ…
  • Ether-bitcoin ratio: 0.03291 (-0.17%). ๐Ÿค
  • Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 1,111 EH/s. ๐Ÿ’ช
  • Hashprice (spot): $41.97. ๐Ÿ’ฐ
  • Total fees: 4.18 BTC / $429,396. ๐Ÿงพ
  • CME Futures Open Interest: 135,525 BTC. ๐Ÿ“
  • BTC priced in gold: 24.5 oz. ๐Ÿ…
  • BTC vs gold market cap: 6.91%. ๐Ÿ†

Technical Analysis ๐Ÿ“

  • BTC penetrated the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Ouch. ๐Ÿ˜–
  • Next support at $94,237 (61.8% retracement). ๐Ÿคž
  • On the higher side, $116,400 is the leb-I mean, level. ๐Ÿคฆโ€โ™‚๏ธ

Crypto Equities ๐Ÿ’ผ

  • Coinbase Global (COIN): closed at $319.30 (+3.9%), -0.23% pre-market. ๐Ÿค”
  • Circle Internet (CRCL): closed at $113.03 (+1.6%), +0.38% pre-market. ๐ŸŒ
  • Galaxy Digital (GLXY): closed at $31.44 (+0.87%), +1.72% pre-market. ๐ŸŒŒ
  • Bullish (BLSH): closed at $48.32 (+5.62%), +0.37% pre-market. ๐Ÿ‚
  • MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $17.13 (+3.07%), -0.41% pre-market. ๐Ÿƒ
  • Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $18.97 (-1.58%), -0.32% pre-market. ๐Ÿค–
  • Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $21.8 (+0.28%), +0.32% pre-market. ๐Ÿ”ฌ
  • CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $16.58 (+2.22%), unchanged pre-market. ๐Ÿงผ
  • CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $62.18 (+6.4%). ๐Ÿš€
  • Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $23.24 (+0.48%). ๐Ÿƒ

Crypto Treasury Companies ๐Ÿ’ฐ

  • Strategy (MSTR): closed at $255 (+3.24%), -1.13% pre-market. ๐Ÿคฏ
  • Semler Scientific (SMLR): closed at $28.74 (+20%), -0.84% pre-market. ๐Ÿงช
  • SharpLink Gaming (SBET): closed at $12.13 (+3.85%), -1.15% pre-market. ๐ŸŽฎ
  • Upexi (UPXI): closed at $3.67 (+5%), +1.77% pre-market. ๐Ÿš€
  • Lite Strategy (LITS): closed at $1.85 (+5.11%). ๐Ÿ’ก

ETF Flows ๐Ÿ“Š

Spot BTC ETFs

  • Daily net flows: -$137 million. ๐Ÿ˜ข
  • Cumulative net flows: $60.26 billion. ๐Ÿค‘
  • Total BTC holdings ~1.34 million. ๐Ÿฆ

Spot ETH ETFs

  • Daily net flows: -$118.5 million. ๐Ÿ˜ญ
  • Cumulative net flows: $13.91 billion. ๐Ÿ’ฐ
  • Total ETH holdings ~6.61 million. ๐Ÿ›๏ธ

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2025-11-06 16:49