On a rather gloomy October 17, 2025, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index took a nosedive to 22 points, signaling a state of “extreme fear” – the lowest level since the dawning days of April, when we all still believed in the tooth fairy and Bitcoin was riding high.
So, what in tarnation does this forebode for the market? Well, if we are to glean wisdom from the dusty annals of history and the whisperings of our esteemed analysts, one might find an answer lurking about.
Is October the Time to Stuff Your Pockets While Others Are Shaking in Their Boots?
The Fear & Greed Index isn’t some mystical creature; it’s devised from a hodgepodge of factors: price volatility (25%), an utterly chaotic trading volume (another 25%), the blabber from social media (15%), the opinions of people who probably have too much time on their hands (15%), Bitcoin’s dominance (10%), and Google Trends (10%)-you know, the things that make you ponder the state of humanity.
A reading that plummets below 25 can herald excessive fear, yet it also throws a cautionary tale about the possibility of a further tumble down the rabbit hole. Like Alice, but without the fun tea party.
According to the fine folks at alternative.me, our beloved index danced from a robust 71 (Greed) just a week before – now that’s what I call a swiftly changing mood!
The last time this index plummeted to such dreary depths, back in April, it was like finding a pot of gold at the end of a storm; Bitcoin rebounded with the gusto of a catapulted rubber chicken-surging more than 70% in the following half-year.
Our learned analyst Ted also quipped that Bitcoin’s funding rate on Binance has recently turned negative. Yes, you heard that right-those who are betting against Bitcoin now find themselves forking over fees to the optimistic souls holding onto long positions. Ain’t that a kicker?
Historically speaking, this little shindig has often heralded the end of despair and signaled a rally clearer than the morning fog. This pattern reared its head in mid-2025, reminding us that the past has a strange way of beckoning.
One eager investor on X (yes, Twitter) took it upon themselves to tally seven negative funding rates over the past two years, each a precocious harbinger of a robust 22% gain within a fortnight. That’s better than finding a dollar bill in your old winter coat!
“This has usually meant a market bottom followed by a joyous rally. Will we see it again?” Ted mused, probably while sipping a cup of suspiciously strong coffee.
But This October Feels as Different as a Cat in a Dog Show
The current fear isn’t just confined to crypto; oh no, it has leaped into the broader stock market like a raccoon into a trash can. What a sight to behold!
On that same fateful October 17, the good folks at Barchart noted that equities have also been besieged by “extreme fear”-their first encounter in six months. Truly, it seems fear is all the rage!
JUST IN 🚨: Extreme Fear hits the Stock Market for the first time in 6 months 👻😱🫂 Here we go!!!
– Barchart (@Barchart) October 16, 2025
This wave of negativity likely mirrors the broader macronomic woes, spurred by geopolitical kerfuffles due to President Trump’s adventurous trade antics with China and the more mundane fears of recession and inflation nestled within recent Federal Reserve decisions.
Despite the swath of dismay, one Dr. André Dragosch-a title that alone deserves a round of applause-emanated a beacon of hope for Bitcoin’s staying power:
“Let us not forget that we’ve already witnessed a considerable capitulation in cryptoasset sentiment. It’s TradFi sentiment that is busily catching up to the downside. That’s why Bitcoin is most likely to maintain a semblance of resilience during this chaos. Bitcoin, the canary once more in the macro coalmine,” he declared, probably while donning a monocle.
Historical trends and Dragosch’s cheerful repartee shed light on Bitcoin’s potential as a trusty store of value when the dark clouds loom. This may present a perfect window for investors to swoop in and snatch up goodly bargains.
Though recall, the strategy of being “greedy when others quiver” can occasionally blow up in one’s face if fear sticks around like an unwelcome house guest.
Despite our whimsical hopes for “Uptober”-a month often laden with strong returns for Bitcoin-analysts are hinting that 2025 might just be shaping up to be Bitcoin’s fourth-worst year since the dawn of its creation, with year-to-date gains lingering around a lackluster 19% thus far.
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2025-10-17 13:47