Fed Rate Cut To Happen 2 Days After US Election, Possible Market Impact?

As a seasoned analyst with over two decades of experience navigating Wall Street’s tumultuous waters, I find myself intrigued by the impending Fed rate cut in November and its potential implications for both traditional markets and digital currencies like Bitcoin (BTC).


On Wall Street, aside from the Bitcoin phenomenon, a significant discussion revolves around the possibility of a Federal Reserve interest rate reduction in November. Given that recent U.S. economic data is falling short of expectations, there’s a growing confidence that a rate cut will indeed occur next month. However, this potential action has sparked a new debate about its potential impact on the overall market.

US Fed Rate Cut: What Is With the Timing?

In September, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) reduced interest rates by half a percentage point. This shift in policy follows nearly four years of tight monetary strategies. At that moment, representatives from the Federal Reserve, including Chairman Jerome Powell, hinted at potential further reductions, contingent on the economic forecast.

Recent economic data shows a need for more cuts. Although the latest US PPI inflation data comes in hotter than expected, jobless claims remain a concern to tackle. With the outlook, many projected a 25 basis point Fed rate cut for November and possibly December.

As a crypto investor, I’ve been closely watching developments, particularly the Beige Book report from our central bank suggesting further cuts in interest rates, leaving uncertainty about when exactly this might happen. Interestingly, according to MarketWatch, Federal officials are quietly gearing up for their November policy meeting on the 7th, which coincidentally falls just two days after the US Presidential election between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. This intriguing timing adds another layer of uncertainty to an already volatile market scenario.

The market’s response is uncertain since the election results might not be finalized by that time, leading to apprehension among investors due to the broader lack of knowledge about potential outcomes. Nevertheless, the situation may become clearer with the upcoming release of the PCE Inflation data and the October job report next week.

What is in it for Bitcoin?

Events where the U.S. Federal Reserve reduces interest rates have traditionally been favorable for Bitcoin (BTC) and the overall cryptocurrency market. Often seen as a safeguard against inflation, Bitcoin may grow in appeal among investors as time passes.

This research arises from the possibility that the buying power of the U.S. Dollar could decrease due to an abundance of capital inflow, driven by the Federal Reserve’s continued interest rate reductions. This scenario is becoming evident as numerous companies are now considering holding their funds in digital currencies as a protective measure.

As a crypto investor, I’m excited to share some intriguing news: In the upcoming weeks, Microsoft shareholders will have the opportunity to weigh in on an investment in Bitcoin. This development, which has been met with enthusiasm by top industry advocates like Michael Saylor, presents a potential game-changer for Microsoft. If the leadership is open to discussions, Mr. Saylor has even extended an offer to guide Microsoft towards trillions of dollars in potential returns through Bitcoin.

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2024-10-26 18:35