Is Bitcoin (BTC) On Track For A 100-Day Rally? Analyst Unveils Cycle Forecast

As a seasoned crypto investor with battle scars from the 2017 bull run and the subsequent bear market, I’ve learned to take every piece of news with a grain of salt but also keep an eye on the charts. The recent surge in Bitcoin’s price has me intrigued yet cautiously optimistic.


Bitcoin saw an optimistic week, climbing approximately 6% from Wednesday onwards, sparking enthusiasm among financial experts and investors who anticipate that this might mark the start of a significant new upward trend.

Previously, Bitcoin’s price surged by an impressive 91% from January to March, almost reaching its highest ever recorded value. Currently, there’s growing enthusiasm among market players that we might witness a repeat of this pattern in the upcoming weeks, which could potentially push the price to new, uncharted heights.

As a researcher delving into the realm of cryptocurrencies, I’ve come across insightful data shared by CryptoQuant’s on-chain analyst, Axel Adler. His findings suggest that Bitcoin’s current surge isn’t merely a fleeting boost, but could be indicative of a more substantial trend. In his analysis, key on-chain metrics indicate a robust accumulation phase, a pattern historically preceding significant price growth.

In light of renewed optimism, everyone’s eyes are on Bitcoin (BTC) as it moves forward. Should it maintain its current rising trend and successfully breach crucial resistance points, this could signal the beginning of a fresh, strong surge. The investment community is keen to discover if BTC can match its past successes and scale new records.

Analyst Expects ‘Longer’ Bitcoin Rally 

Over the last three weeks, Bitcoin’s price has skyrocketed by 25%, primarily due to the Federal Reserve reducing interest rates. This substantial price fluctuation has sparked renewed optimism among analysts and traders, who are now anticipating a fresh wave of growth for Bitcoin. The day-to-day market behavior substantiates this perspective, suggesting an ongoing uptrend as Bitcoin keeps gaining altitude.

Noted crypto expert Axel Adler has recently discussed the digital currency X, pointing out that the typical Bitcoin surge this year has tended to last about 25 days, whereas historically (over the past 15 years), these surges have averaged closer to 35 days in duration.

Is Bitcoin (BTC) On Track For A 100-Day Rally? Analyst Unveils Cycle Forecast

As per Adler’s perspective, the present market cycle might last for a relatively shorter period, which serves as a minimum prediction. Under advantageous economic conditions, he speculates that a 100-day price surge could occur. It’s important to note that this forecast is more of an intuition from him than a conclusion drawn from explicit data, underscoring the volatile and unpredictable characteristics of the cryptocurrency market.

With Bitcoin’s price nearing significant supply zones around $70,000, investors are keeping a keen eye on this development. This critical resistance level hasn’t been tested since late July. If Bitcoin manages to break through $70,000, it would not only strengthen the current rally but also pave the way for a possible attempt to surpass its previous record highs.

There’s been a significant increase in Bitcoin’s value that has ignited enthusiasm, yet there’s also a sense of apprehension as people watch to determine if Bitcoin can keep up its pace and surpass this critical barrier. If Bitcoin manages to continue climbing and exceed these heights, it might indicate the beginning of a strong and prolonged surge, which could draw fresh interest and investment into the cryptocurrency sector.

BTC Price Testing Crucial Supply 

At present, Bitcoin is being exchanged at approximately $66,065. It surpassed the 200-day moving average (MA) at $63,797 and maintained this position for two consecutive days, a move that suggests robust bullish energy. This decisive action has sparked renewed optimism within the market.

Is Bitcoin (BTC) On Track For A 100-Day Rally? Analyst Unveils Cycle Forecast

Currently, the price is approaching levels where more supply becomes available. If it surpasses $70,000, this could ignite a burst of demand due to the fear of missing out (FOMO) among traders and investors. This surge in demand might draw even more capital into the market, further boosting the upward trend.

As I observe Bitcoin’s current trajectory, it’s crucial to remember that maintaining its position above the daily 200 Moving Average (MA) is essential for preserving this bullish trend. If it fails to hold above this significant threshold, we might witness a correction towards the demand zones around $60,000. This potential dip could offer a chance for bulls to gather more coins in anticipation of the next price surge. However, such a development could also introduce doubt and hesitation among traders.

Currently, everyone is watching to see if Bitcoin can sustain its growth and surpass the $70,000 barrier, a move that would confirm an uptrend and possibly pave the way for a fresh record high within the next few weeks.

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2024-09-28 17:42