One-Year Bitcoin (BTC) Cycle on Verge of Being Broken

As a seasoned researcher who has weathered numerous market cycles in my professional journey, I find myself intrigued by the current state of Bitcoin’s market dynamics. The pattern we’ve seen so far has been predictable, but the recent behavior suggests a potential deviation.


It seems that the Bitcoin market is showing signs of an upcoming reversal, fueling discussions about whether the one-year cycle will conclude soon. Historically, Bitcoin tends to follow a consistent pattern, but current market behavior suggests it might deviate from this trend.

Over the past few days, the cost of Bitcoin has been encountering substantial resistance. The related graph suggests this level is close to the peak of Bitcoin’s prolonged downward trend line at approximately $66,000. Historically, this level has acted as a barrier for Bitcoin, as it has yet to convincingly breach it. However, recent indicators hint that the market might be shifting.

As an analyst, I’ve noticed an interesting trend: the premiums for both Bitcoin and Ethereum have been decreasing, a situation not seen since June. This could be a sign of a significant development in the digital asset space. Additionally, the ongoing expansion of the global M2 money supply might be hinting at increased liquidity for Bitcoin, a factor that’s closely tied to its market dynamics.

66,000 dollars serves as an important level of resistance and a crucial price point to observe closely. If Bitcoin manages to surpass this mark with substantial trading volume, it could suggest a bullish breakout. Meanwhile, $62,000 is considered a vital support level if there’s a drop in price. Any subsequent declines might signal a more significant correction. Lastly, psychological resistance persists at $60,000, and should Bitcoin fall below this point, it could lead to further losses as investors reassess their investments.

As a researcher studying the dynamics of Bitcoin, I can affirm that the worldwide liquidity index reaching unprecedented peaks serves as a strong indicator supporting the ongoing rally. This suggests that the market possesses enough fluidity to accommodate further price surges, potentially propelling Bitcoin towards uncharted record highs. However, it’s important to remember that Bitcoin’s volatility is inherent, making the coming weeks crucial for determining its price trajectory in the near future.

Regardless of the possibility to disrupt the yearly trend, the outcome will significantly hinge on Bitcoin’s response at these critical price thresholds.

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2024-10-15 16:59