Raoul Pal On Ethereum Price: ETF To Create a ‘Banana Zone Squared’

As a seasoned crypto investor with a keen interest in market trends and regulatory developments, I share Raoul Pal’s optimism regarding the potential impact of an Ethereum ETF on the crypto world. The approval of such a fund could indeed be a major catalyst for Ethereum price action.


As a researcher studying the cryptocurrency market, I’m excited about Raoul Pal’s bullish outlook on the potential impact of an Ethereum exchange-traded fund (ETF). He believes that the increased demand for an Ethereum ETF could significantly boost the price of Ethereum.

Push Factor for Ethereum Price Action

Pal recently imparted his perspectives to X’s community members in a blog post. Notably, this development occurs close in time to the anticipated SEC ruling on the proposed spot Ethereum Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF).

Based on Pal’s analysis, several elements could potentially lead to a rapid increase in the value of the ETF. He identified these factors as:

If all the previously mentioned factors come into play and an Ethereum ETF is eventually approved, there’s a strong possibility that Ethereum’s price could soar to unprecedented heights – what he refers to as a “banana market situation squared.” This surge in demand would undoubtedly lead to a sharp increase in the cost of Ethereum.

With Ethereum’s staking mechanism operating under Proof-of-Stake (PoS), approximately 30% of Ether is taken out of circulation. This ether serves to secure the network by being staked for validating transactions. As a result, this decrease in available supply might enhance the price impact when demand increases.

As an analyst, I’d like to point out that Pal brings up Ethereum’s token-burning mechanism in his analysis. This process involves Ethereum automatically destroying a portion of transaction fees. In simpler terms, every time there’s an increase in network activity, more transaction fees are generated and subsequently burned. The outcome is a decrease in the total supply of ETH tokens. Consequently, the higher the network usage, the stronger the squeeze on the token supply.

ETF Potential on the Broader Crypto Market

Pal posits that these elements might cause Ethereum’s price to significantly surge, reaching what he figuratively refers to as “an exceptional and uncharted price hike square,” implying a remarkable and unexpected escalation in worth.

According to the most recent market figures, Ethereum is presently being bought and sold for around $3,771.78. This represents a significant increase of approximately 22.38% over the previous 24-hour period.

In the current upward trend, if the interplay of staking and burning results in a severely reduced net supply, the value of the asset could soar to new heights far surpassing its previous record high of $4,891.70. Furthermore, as more Ethereum gets locked up for staking and tokens get incinerated, the pool of tokens available for trading shrinks, intensifying price pressures.

Pal’s examination and prognostications present a vivid image of the possible impact of an Ethereum ETF on the cryptocurrency sector. As market participants eagerly await the SEC’s approval of a spot Ethereum ETF, investors are excited about the potential for significant price growth in Ethereum.

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2024-05-21 18:56