A shadow has fallen across the land—a billionaire, yes, another one, Chamath Palihapitiya (who, judging by his penchant for metrics, surely counts his teaspoons nightly), croaks out ominous tidings. He sees dire portents in the entrails of the banking world: the price-to-book ratios of Capital One and Credit Acceptance are twitching and wriggling in the charts, like a bureaucrat’s nose in a ledger.
Now, price-to-book, that sacred abacus used by those who break bread with Wall Street wolves, is sniffed at to gauge if banks are fat with value or merely bloated on hope. But, says the ever-watchful Chamath—undefeated in the staring contest against numbers—this ratio is no mere mathematical bauble. No, it’s the village rooster; and it is crowing at midnight. 🐓
“Observe,” intones our billionaire sage, “the mysterious spread between Credit Acceptance and Capital One!” (Here, a hush, for even the furniture listens.) “History, that trickster aunt, tells us: when these subprime merchants’ numbers start soaring like rent in St. Petersburg, calamity looms close behind—liquidity crisis knocking on the door with muddy boots.”
“And so, my friends, yellow lights now blaze and blink, crying out in the night to the Federal Reserve. Yet, like a man who ignores smoke lest he spill his soup, the Fed gazes steadily away.” 🚦
But wait! There’s hope, if you call blind panic hope. Chamath, with the benevolence of a czar distributing slightly stale bread, proclaims the Fed could rescue all by lopping off interest rates in one elegant, theatrical chop. But—wouldn’t you know it—they’re busy dusting off dusty mandates about employment and inflation, forever set at this mystical “2%,” as if God himself had scribbled it on a napkin after a long night at the tavern.
“Right now,” Chamath declares to the staring masses, “as the yellow lights blink and the indicators all but hire a street band to get attention, the wise men of the Fed reach for their earplugs.” 🎺
And so the saga unfolds: the numbers flicker, the Fed fidgets, and the common folk—much like hens waiting for a fox—gaze anxiously out their windows, wondering when, or if, they’ll see the dawn.
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2025-05-11 10:32