This Onchain Metric Shows Strengthened Bitcoin Bulls

As an experienced financial analyst, I believe that Bitcoin’s recent market recovery is a bullish sign for the asset. The data from CryptoQuant indicating a positive NUPL score above Bitcoin’s 365-day moving average is a significant indicator of investor profits and upward sentiment in the market. This trend is further reinforced by the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs, institutional inflows, and anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.


As a crypto investor, I’ve noticed that Bitcoin (BTC) is bouncing back in the market following a stretch of negative sentiment fueled by German asset sales and Mt Gox creditor payouts. The Bitcoin Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL), which measures the difference between unrealized gains and losses, is currently above the 365 daily average, indicating a bullish influence on the market. Moreover, the price peaks of BTC over the last six months have resulted in increasingly optimistic outlooks based on on-chain metrics, as these numbers have recently turned positive.

Experts Points To Bullish Bitcoin Sentiment

According to the latest information from cryptocurrency analytics firm, CryptoQuant, Bitcoin’s Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL) indicator is currently indicating a positive trend despite market volatility. This metric measures the difference between the total unrealized gains and losses in the market, relative to the market capitalization. When the NUPL value lies above its average, it suggests that Bitcoin’s price is experiencing an upward trend.

An analyst from CryptoQuant described how their tool provides insight into investor profits and potentially signals the end of a bull market. “A score above zero suggests investors are currently making a profit. Furthermore, our cold blue hue (below zero) might indicate that Bitcoin’s price dips could present buying opportunities. Conversely, dark orange or red indicates substantial gains for investors.”

As a researcher studying the dynamics of Bitcoin’s market behavior, I have observed that the 365-day moving average plays a significant role in shaping asset flows and holder positioning. Specifically, when the Network Upvalued Plain Sentiment (NUPL) indicator is above this moving average, it suggests positive sentiments prevailing in the market, potentially leading to increased buying pressure. Conversely, if the NUPL falls below the 365-day moving average, it may indicate bearish sentiments and potential selling pressure from holders.

During bull markets, if the NUPL data nears its Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 365, I view this as a potential buying opportunity. On the other hand, during bear markets, an approach to SMA 365 by the NUPL data may signal a selling opportunity. However, it’s crucial to determine the market trend first.

Macro Factors Align With Experts 

As an analyst, I’d rephrase it as follows: Following the green light given to Bitcoin ETFs and the significant inflow of institutional funds, pushing the price above $73,000 all-time high, there’s a growing expectation for broader adoption of the asset. With over $50 billion flowing into Bitcoin funds, market observers anticipate that macroeconomic factors could propel further gains towards the end of Q3 2024. This optimism stems from the anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in September. Last week, we saw a decrease in annual inflation rates according to the US Labor Department report.

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2024-07-14 03:56