As a researcher, I’ve noticed that the financial market has experienced quite a rollercoaster ride recently, with escalating macroeconomic issues casting a shadow over investor confidence. Particularly, the latest US Job data and hawkish comments from Fed officials have stoked anxiety among traders. However, there’s a sense of anticipation in the air as we wait for the upcoming US CPI inflation and PPI data, due out later this week. Furthermore, these figures have sparked conjectures about their potential influence on the future performance of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
Crypto Market Awaits US CPI Inflation Data
Investors in the cryptocurrency world are anxiously looking forward to the release of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figures set for Wednesday, January 15. This data will provide insights into the current state of the economy. It is worth mentioning that recent strong employment statistics in the U.S. have raised concerns among investors lately.
Based on recent figures from the Labor Department, the United States experienced a job growth of approximately 256,000 in December. This figure surpasses the predicted market growth of 160,000. Furthermore, the unemployment rate saw a decrease, falling from 4.2% in the previous month to 4.1%.
The strong U.S. employment figures seem to confirm predictions of a possible more aggressive stance by the Federal Reserve. In particular, it looks like the central bank could maintain its tighter monetary policy, meaning investors might need to be patient until June for the potential first interest rate reduction of the year.
What To Expect From US CPI?
This week, the rate of consumer price inflation in the United States is a significant point of interest within both the traditional financial market and the crypto sector. Based on current forecasts, experts anticipate that the Consumer Price Index will hold steady at 0.3%, while the Year-over-Year (YoY) CPI could increase to 2.9%, compared to last month’s figure of 2.7%.
Instead, it’s anticipated that the Core Consumer Price Index, which disregards food and energy costs, will decrease by 0.2% compared to the previous month’s 0.3% reading. At the same time, the year-over-year Core CPI is expected to stay constant at a rate of 3.3%.
It seems that the market is preparing for high inflation numbers this week. If the data exceeds expectations, it could deepen the investors’ pessimism and possibly influence the performance of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. To put it another way, a higher-than-expected result may provide investors with greater opportunity to execute their hawkish strategies.
US PPI Inflation Also In Cards
As a researcher, I personally am keeping a close eye on the upcoming US Producer Price Index (PPI) data, which is set to be released on Tuesday, January 14. This data, alongside the Consumer Price Index (CPI), serves as a crucial indicator for market analysts, including myself, and is closely monitored by the Federal Reserve. The PPI helps us gauge the level of inflationary pressure within the market, providing valuable insights into the overall economic health and stability.
Should this data show warmer than anticipated temperatures, the central bank may choose to increase interest rates more swiftly in order to combat inflation. Moreover, such a development might substantially influence the attitudes of traders and potentially negatively affect the cryptocurrency market’s results.
What’s Next For BTC & Altcoins?
The price swings of Bitcoin and other leading cryptocurrencies have been particularly erratic following Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s statement about planning just two interest rate reductions by 2025, a month ago. Earlier, the market had anticipated more than four rate cuts in 2021 alone.
Moreover, the latest comments from Fed officials have added to the pessimistic outlook in financial markets. Significantly, these officials indicated that they would carefully assess economic statistics and other relevant factors before potentially reducing interest rates. As a result, investors will be paying close attention to the forthcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figures and Producer Price Index (PPI) data.
In summary, there’s a possibility that the cryptocurrency market may experience volatile trading over the next few days, should the U.S. Federal Reserve opt for a more aggressive monetary policy. Nevertheless, despite these short-term worries, various industry experts maintain a positive outlook on the future direction of digital assets.
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2025-01-12 21:06