Polkadot Price Likely to Crash 13% Despite Recent Protocol Upgrade

As a seasoned crypto investor with over five years of experience, I have witnessed numerous market fluctuations and learned to read between the lines when it comes to blockchain projects and their price movements. The recent bearish pressure on Polkadot (DOT) has left me intrigued rather than alarmed.


1. Despite ongoing advancements within the Polkadot network, such as the recent introduction of asynchronous backing for enhanced scalability and parachain interoperability, the value of DOT has experienced a bearish trend, decreasing by 2.8% over the past 24 hours to approximately $5.68 during U.S. trading hours.

Low Volume, Open Interest, High L/S Ratio Suggests Investors Are Hoarding

1. In contrast to the decrease in Polkadot’s price, on-chain indicators continue to exhibit optimistic trends:

Polkadot Price Likely to Crash 13% Despite Recent Protocol Upgrade

Per CoinGecko’s data, daily DOT volume surged by 23%. Yet, upon closer examination, it appears that trading volume has been on a gradual downtrend since July 5, marking its yearly low. This trend suggests decreased buying enthusiasm and diminished bullish interest.

Based on my extensive experience in analyzing cryptocurrency market data, I have come across numerous instances where open interest has remained low while the Long/Short ratio indicates contrasting sentiments among traders. This current situation, as shown by Coinalyze data, is no exception. The 0.12% increase in open interest over the last 24 hours may appear insignificant; however, I’ve learned that such seemingly small changes can sometimes signal underlying market shifts.

Polkadot Price Analysis: DOT Bears Eye $4.91 If They Beat This Obstacle

The chart for Polkadot displays a declining pattern as its value persistently remains beneath both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. A closer examination using candlestick analysis suggests that the bearish trend could potentially carry on. However, there is a significant support level at the latest psychological threshold of $5 which might prevent further price decreases.

1.5 months have seen the Polkadot price in a holding pattern, and a potential drop below the $5 support could lead to further declines towards the yearly low of $4.91. On the flip side, if bullish momentum continues, DOT price may face significant resistance at the 50-day EMA level ($6.17) and a less formidable barrier around the 200-day EMA ($6.77). Moving beyond these levels, $7.00 stands as a robust resistance point.

1. Option: In terms of the Relative Strength Index (RSI), it stands at 40.90, signaling a bearish trend and an approach towards oversold territory. Conversely, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) reads 0.04, reflecting a neutral to positively sluggish money flow, indicating limited yet noticeable capital inflow into Polkadot.

Polkadot Price Likely to Crash 13% Despite Recent Protocol Upgrade

1. Here’s a possible rephrasing: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is positioned beneath the signal line, signaling a bearish trend. In essence, this points towards the possibility that Polkadot’s price could persist in a corrective phase characterized by a downtrend, potentially encountering lower support thresholds.

As a dedicated Polkadot (DOT) investor, it’s encouraging to see that the number of daily holders has reached an unprecedented high of 1.3 million. Furthermore, the surge in daily active users by a substantial 19.21% is a clear indication of growing interest and adoption within the community.

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2024-07-30 14:45