HYPE’s $500M Unlocks: Will Crypto Crash or Climb? 🚀

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The HYPE price is approaching a critical moment in the next quarter with the start of monthly token unlocks that could create significant selling pressure. 🤯

Beginning November 29, Hyperliquid crypto will release millions worth of tokens, and the entire vesting schedule will distribute $11.9 billion worth of tokens. To this analyst sees as a significant looming selling pressure that will be testing both investor sentiment and market resilience. This phase may determine whether bullish momentum can withstand the looming supply shock. 💸

HYPE Price Today and Market Setup

At the time of writing, HYPE price today trades at $48.74, recovering from an intraday dip to $46.5 and staying above the 50-day EMA. 📈

The Hyperliquid price chart recently showed an ascending triangle breakout that pushed HYPE price USD to a fresh all-time high of $59.29. However, profit-taking quickly set in, pulling the token back before bulls managed to stabilize price action. 📉

Despite short-term volatility, traders are closely watching whether Hyperliquid crypto can reclaim the $60 zone and extend toward $80 by year-end. Yet, the challenge of absorbing massive token unlocks now overshadows bullish sentiment. 🤔

The Sword of Damocles: $500M in Monthly Unlocks

Starting November 29, the vesting schedule for Hyperliquid begins, distributing roughly $11.9 billion worth of HYPE tokens over 24 months. 🧨

Each month, $500 million worth of tokens will be released, creating what some see as the first true test of Hyperliquid’s tokenomics. 🧪

This is why we dumped $HYPE today. But don’t worry 126x is still possible 2028 is a long way off.

– Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) September 22, 2025

Current buybacks would absorb only about 17% of that monthly supply, leaving nearly $410 million in potential overhang. 🤯

While partnerships with entities like Sonnet BioTherapeutics and Rorschach, which together manage over $583 million in HYPE tokens and $305 million in cash, are going to help establish token treasuries, these efforts remain limited compared to the scale of upcoming unlocks, per Maelstrom data. 🧮

Technical Outlook: Key Levels to Watch

The short-term outlook remains mixed. If bullish traders can maintain momentum, HYPE price prediction models point toward a push to $60 and potentially $80 by the end of 2025. This aligns with earlier projections that Hyperliquid crypto could sustain exponential growth in the right conditions. 🚀

On the downside, immediate support levels sit at $42 and $39. A breakdown below these areas could signal deeper corrections and shift the tone of the HYPE price forecast. 🛑

Therefore, the looming supply shock tempers enthusiasm, making the next few months crucial for establishing a sustainable market structure. 🧭

That said, HYPE price stands at a crossroads, which is at the moment balancing bullish momentum and long-term growth prospects against heavy short-term supply risks that will test both conviction and liquidity. 🤝

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2025-09-22 16:45