Bitcoin’s price jumped significantly on Thursday, recovering from a crucial support level right as the Senate Banking Committee started discussing the CLARITY Act. The crypto market has been eagerly awaiting this regulatory decision, and the price increase indicates that investors are reacting to the news as it happens.
The price rebounded right at the 21-week exponential moving average, a key support level analysts had been watching. Whether the recent upward trend would continue depended on the price staying above this level.
What the Chart Actually Says
Although Bitcoin’s price has recently increased, experts are hesitant to call it a major breakthrough. The price has gone up over 30% since February, but it’s only reached a typical resistance point, and the overall trend still suggests a potential downturn.
Bitcoin’s recent price increase looks more like a temporary bounce within a larger downward trend than the start of a new, sustained bull market. To confirm a true bull phase, we’d need to see a five-wave upward pattern. Until then, this rally is considered a correction against the prevailing trend.
Resistance levels standing between current prices and a real breakout:
- $81,300 first structural resistance
- $82,400 recent swing high that needs to be cleared
- $84,500 open CME gap sitting directly above
- $86,000 to $87,000 the next meaningful Fibonacci target zone
Looking back at the 2022 bear market rally, I see some interesting parallels to what we’re experiencing now. That previous bounce peaked after hitting a 50% Fibonacci retracement level and briefly moved above the 21-week Exponential Moving Average. Currently, Bitcoin has only reached the 38.2% retracement. This suggests there’s still potential for further gains, with the 50% level around $87,000 acting as a possible target, before we potentially see the overall downward trend resume.
The Level That Breaks the Bull Case
Keep an eye on the $76,527 level. If Bitcoin stays above this key support area, it suggests prices could continue to rise in the near term. However, falling below this level would likely signal a shift in the current upward trend.
Right now, both the CLARITY Act and positive technical indicators are driving prices up. Whether this trend lasts will depend on the outcome of Thursday’s Senate committee hearing.
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2026-05-14 19:07